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Pro League
Referee: J Boterberg
Genk
S S S U S
4–0
Full-time
Antwerp
S T U U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk Antwerp
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
83%
33%
Points per game
2,7
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,7
3,7
Scored
2,7
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,7
+0,0
This season — Pro League · 36/36 matches
Win Ø 53%
53%
53%
Points per game
1,9
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 63%
64%
61%
Both score Ø 71%
75%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,1
Scored
2,0
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

54% Possession 46%
20 Shots 10
10 Shots on target 2
2 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 4
3 Offside 1
8 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Genk 2. · Antwerp 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 36 24 7 5 +48 79
2 Genk 36 19 11 6 +28 68
3 Antwerp 36 19 9 8 +17 66
4 Mechelen 37 19 9 9 +15 66
5 Gent 37 18 7 12 +29 61
6 Waregem 38 18 4 16 -7 58
7 Beerschot VA 38 16 6 16 -6 54
8 Oostende 37 15 8 14 +3 53
9 Anderlecht 36 11 19 6 +14 52
10 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 38 14 10 14 -2 52
11 Standard 37 13 9 15 -1 48
12 Kortrijk 38 14 6 18 -8 48
13 Eupen 38 11 15 12 -10 48
14 Charleroi 38 11 12 15 -5 45
15 Cercle Brugge 38 14 3 21 -7 45
16 St Truiden 38 11 9 18 -12 42
17 Beveren 36 8 8 20 -29 32
18 Mouscron 34 7 10 17 -22 31
19 Royal Excel Mouscron 34 7 10 17 -22 31
20 Waasland-Beveren 34 8 7 19 -26 31

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Genk Antwerp
16′
🟨 K. Miyoshi
1–0 K. Thorstvedt
43′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 K. Thorstvedt
P. Onuachu
49′
61′
🔁 A. De Sart
↦ D. Lamkel Ze
3–0 K. Thorstvedt
P. Onuachu
64′
67′
🟨 D. Lamkel Ze
P. Onuachu 🔁
↦ C. Dessers
74′
4–0 C. Dessers
75′
78′
🔁 R. De Laet
↦ D. Batubinsika
78′
🔁 K. Miyoshi
↦ F. Avenatti
78′
🔁 M. Hongla
↦ N. De Pauw
T. Bongonda 🔁
↦ L. Oyen
79′
P. Hrosovsky 🔁
↦ B. Toma
82′
82′
🔁 J. Lukaku
↦ P. Gerkens
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Genk

4-2-3-1
26 Maarten Vandevoordt G
23 Daniel Muñoz D
2 Mark McKenzie D
33 Jhon Lucumi D
5 Gerardo Arteaga D
17 Patrik Hrošovský M
8 Bryan Heynen M
7 Junya Ito M
42 Kristian Thorstvedt M
10 Theo Bongonda M
18 Paul Onuachu F
Bench (7)
40 Tobe Leysen
77 Ángelo Preciado
21 Jere Uronen
14 Bastien Toma
38 Kouassi Eboue
24 Luca Oyen
9 Cyriel Dessers

Coach: J. van den Brom

Antwerp

3-5-2
46 Jean Butez G
4 Abdoulaye Seck D
31 Maxime Le Marchand D
2 Ritchie De Laet D
30 Aurelio Buta M
25 Alexis De Sart M
5 Birger Verstraete M
18 Martin Hongla M
94 Jordan Lukaku M
70 Dieumerci Mbokani F
19 Koji Miyoshi F
Bench (7)
97 Ortwin De Wolf
21 Dylan Batubinsika
15 Frank Boya
7 Didier Lamkel Zé
16 Pieter Gerkens
90 Felipe Avenatti
14 Nill De Pauw

Coach: F. Vercauteren

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,20
U
3,44
B
3,12
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,61
U2,5
2,27
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

J Boterberg · 112 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,8 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.