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Eredivisie

Referee: J Manschot

Nijmegen

T T S S S

3–0

Full-time

Roda

T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nijmegen Roda

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 84%

67%

100%

Both score Ø 67%

33%

100%

Average goals

3,2

4,5

Scored

1,5

2,5

Conceded

1,7

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,5

This season — Eredivisie · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 100%

100%

Points per game

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

4,0

5,0

Scored

4,0

3,0

Conceded

0,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

+4,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

35% Possession 65%

17 Shots 15

7 Shots on target 3

3 Blocked shots 6

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

3 Corners 7

0 Offside 2

8 Free kicks against 13

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	34	28	4	2	+79	88
2	PSV Eindhoven	34	21	9	4	+39	72
3	AZ Alkmaar	34	21	8	5	+34	71
4	Vitesse	34	18	7	9	+14	61
5	Feyenoord	33	17	9	7	+30	60
6	Utrecht	33	14	12	7	+12	54
7	Groningen	34	14	7	13	+2	49
8	Sparta Rotterdam	34	13	7	14	-1	46
9	Heracles	34	12	8	14	-11	44
10	Twente	34	10	11	13	-2	41
11	For Sittard	34	12	5	17	-8	41
12	Heerenveen	34	9	12	13	-6	39
13	Zwolle	34	9	11	14	-9	38
14	Willem II	34	8	7	19	-28	31
15	Waalwijk	34	7	9	18	-22	30
16	FC Emmen	34	7	9	18	-28	30
17	VVV Venlo	34	6	5	23	-48	23
18	Den Haag	34	4	10	20	-47	22

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	17	14	2	1	+39	44
2	PSV Eindhoven	17	13	3	1	+26	42
3	AZ Alkmaar	17	12	2	3	+21	38
4	Vitesse	17	11	4	2	+14	37
5	Feyenoord	16	10	4	2	+24	34
6	Heracles	17	8	4	5	+13	28
7	Groningen	17	7	6	4	+4	27
8	Utrecht	17	7	6	4	+3	27
9	Zwolle	17	6	6	5	+1	24
10	Heerenveen	17	6	5	6	+4	23
11	Sparta Rotterdam	17	6	4	7	+3	22
12	Willem II	17	6	2	9	-11	20
13	Waalwijk	17	5	4	8	-4	19
14	Twente	17	4	6	7	-2	18
15	For Sittard	17	5	3	9	-6	18
16	FC Emmen	17	4	4	9	-15	16
17	VVV Venlo	17	3	4	10	-26	13
18	Den Haag	17	1	6	10	-21	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ajax	17	14	2	1	+40	44
2	AZ Alkmaar	17	9	6	2	+13	33
3	PSV Eindhoven	17	8	6	3	+13	30
4	Utrecht	16	7	6	3	+9	27
5	Feyenoord	17	7	5	5	+6	26
6	Vitesse	17	7	3	7	+0	24
7	Sparta Rotterdam	17	7	3	7	-4	24
8	Twente	17	6	5	6	+0	23
9	For Sittard	17	7	2	8	-2	23
10	Groningen	17	7	1	9	-2	22
11	Heerenveen	17	3	7	7	-10	16
12	Heracles	17	4	4	9	-24	16
13	Zwolle	17	3	5	9	-10	14
14	FC Emmen	17	3	5	9	-13	14
15	Den Haag	17	3	4	10	-26	13
16	Willem II	17	2	5	10	-17	11
17	Waalwijk	17	2	5	10	-18	11
18	VVV Venlo	17	3	1	13	-22	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.