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Premiership

Referee: J Beaton

Dundee

S T

2–1

Full-time

Kilmarnock

U S T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dundee Kilmarnock

Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,5

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,0

3,7

Scored

1,5

2,3

Conceded

0,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

+1,0

This season — Premiership · 2/38 matches

Win Ø 38%

50%

26%

Points per game

1,5

0,9

Over 2.5 Ø 45%

50%

39%

Both score Ø 20%

39%

Average goals

2,0

2,6

Scored

1,5

1,1

Conceded

0,5

1,4

Goal diff per game

+1,0

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

43% Possession 57%

8 Shots 4

5 Shots on target 1

0 Goalkeeper saves 3

7 Corners 3

2 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 12

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	38	32	6	0	+79	102
2	Celtic	38	22	11	5	+49	77
3	Hibernian	38	18	9	11	+13	63
4	Aberdeen	38	15	11	12	-2	56
5	St Mirren	38	11	12	15	-8	45
6	ST Johnstone	38	11	12	15	-10	45
7	Livingston	38	12	9	17	-12	45
8	Motherwell	38	12	9	17	-16	45
9	Dundee United	38	10	14	14	-18	44
10	Ross County	38	11	6	21	-31	39
11	Kilmarnock	38	10	6	22	-11	36
12	Hamilton	38	7	9	22	-33	30

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	19	19	0	0	+53	57
2	Celtic	19	13	4	2	+30	43
3	Aberdeen	19	9	5	5	+5	32
4	Hibernian	19	7	6	6	+0	27
5	Dundee United	19	6	6	7	-3	24
6	Kilmarnock	19	6	5	8	+3	23
7	Livingston	19	6	4	9	-5	22
8	ST Johnstone	19	5	6	8	-6	21
9	Motherwell	19	6	3	10	-11	21
10	St Mirren	19	4	8	7	-8	20
11	Ross County	19	5	4	10	-16	19
12	Hamilton	19	2	6	11	-16	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Rangers	19	13	6	0	+26	45
2	Hibernian	19	11	3	5	+13	36
3	Celtic	19	9	7	3	+19	34
4	St Mirren	19	7	4	8	+0	25
5	ST Johnstone	19	6	6	7	-4	24
6	Motherwell	19	6	6	7	-5	24
7	Aberdeen	19	6	6	7	-7	24
8	Livingston	19	6	5	8	-7	23
9	Ross County	19	6	2	11	-15	20
10	Dundee United	19	4	8	7	-15	20
11	Hamilton	19	5	3	11	-17	18
12	Kilmarnock	19	4	1	14	-14	13

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.