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LaLiga2

Zaragoza

T U U U S

3–0

Full-time

Castellon

S U U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Zaragoza Castellon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

2,0

1,5

Scored

1,0

0,5

Conceded

1,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,5

This season — LaLiga2 · 39/39 matches

Win Ø 28%

28%

Points per game

1,2

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 33%

28%

38%

Both score Ø 39%

33%

44%

Average goals

1,7

2,1

Scored

0,8

0,9

Conceded

0,9

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

11 Shots 11

5 Shots on target 2

4 Corners 6

8 Free kicks against 17

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Zaragoza 17. · Castellon 19. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Espanol	40	24	9	7	+44	81
2	Mallorca	40	23	9	8	+25	78
3	Almeria	40	19	10	11	+18	67
4	Leganes	40	19	10	11	+13	67
5	Girona	40	19	10	11	+10	67
6	Sp Gijon	40	17	13	10	+11	64
7	Vallecano	39	17	10	12	+8	61
8	Ponferradina	40	15	11	14	-3	56
9	Mirandes	40	14	11	15	-1	53
10	Oviedo	39	11	17	11	+2	50
11	Tenerife	40	13	11	16	+0	50
12	Fuenlabrada	40	11	17	12	-2	50
13	Las Palmas	40	12	14	14	-9	50
14	Malaga	40	13	11	16	-12	50
15	Cartagena	40	12	12	16	-7	48
16	Alcorcon	40	12	10	18	-7	46
17	Zaragoza	39	11	12	16	-6	45
18	Logrones	40	11	11	18	-23	44
19	Castellon	39	11	8	20	-11	41
20	Lugo	40	9	14	17	-17	41
21	Sabadell	40	9	13	18	-12	40
22	Albacete	40	9	11	20	-21	38

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Espanol	20	15	2	3	+29	47
2	Leganes	20	14	3	3	+15	45
3	Mallorca	20	13	3	4	+20	42
4	Sp Gijon	20	11	7	2	+12	40
5	Girona	20	11	4	5	+9	37
6	Almeria	20	9	8	3	+15	35
7	Las Palmas	20	10	5	5	+10	35
8	Vallecano	19	10	4	5	+9	34
9	Tenerife	20	9	6	5	+10	33
10	Ponferradina	20	9	6	5	+3	33
11	Zaragoza	19	8	7	4	+5	31
12	Cartagena	20	8	6	6	+4	30
13	Lugo	20	7	8	5	+3	29
14	Oviedo	20	7	7	6	+4	28
15	Castellon	20	9	1	10	+3	28
16	Mirandes	20	6	10	4	+3	28
17	Alcorcon	20	8	3	9	-1	27
18	Logrones	20	7	4	9	-8	25
19	Fuenlabrada	20	4	11	5	+1	23
20	Malaga	20	5	7	8	-5	22
21	Sabadell	20	4	9	7	-3	21
22	Albacete	20	5	6	9	-6	21

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mallorca	20	10	6	4	+5	36
2	Espanol	20	9	7	4	+15	34
3	Almeria	20	10	2	8	+3	32
4	Girona	20	8	6	6	+1	30
5	Malaga	20	8	4	8	-7	28
6	Vallecano	20	7	6	7	-1	27
7	Fuenlabrada	20	7	6	7	-3	27
8	Mirandes	20	8	1	11	-4	25
9	Sp Gijon	20	6	6	8	-1	24
10	Ponferradina	20	6	5	9	-6	23
11	Leganes	20	5	7	8	-2	22
12	Oviedo	19	4	10	5	-2	22
13	Alcorcon	20	4	7	9	-6	19
14	Sabadell	20	5	4	11	-9	19
15	Logrones	20	4	7	9	-15	19
16	Cartagena	20	4	6	10	-11	18
17	Tenerife	20	4	5	11	-10	17
18	Albacete	20	4	5	11	-15	17
19	Las Palmas	20	2	9	9	-19	15
20	Zaragoza	20	3	5	12	-11	14
21	Castellon	19	2	7	10	-14	13
22	Lugo	20	2	6	12	-20	12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.