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Eliteserien

Referee: S Amland

Lillestrom

T T S U T

3–1

Full-time

Stabaek

S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Lillestrom Stabaek

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

33%

50%

Points per game

1,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

2,5

3,2

Scored

1,3

1,7

Conceded

1,2

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,2

This season — Eliteserien · 8/8 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,6

1,8

Over 2.5 Ø 63%

63%

Both score Ø 57%

63%

50%

Average goals

3,3

2,9

Scored

1,6

1,4

Conceded

1,6

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,0

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

70% Possession 30%

11 Shots 8

3 Shots on target 2

3 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 0

6 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Lillestrom 8. · Stabaek 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	9	8	1	0	+18	25
2	Brann	9	5	2	2	+9	17
3	Sarpsborg 08	8	4	3	1	+4	15
4	Viking	8	4	2	2	+3	14
5	Tromso	8	4	2	2	+2	14
6	Stabaek	8	4	2	2	-1	14
7	Molde	9	4	1	4	+8	13
8	Lillestrom	8	4	1	3	+0	13
9	Valerenga	8	3	1	4	+0	10
10	Odd	9	2	4	3	-1	10
11	Rosenborg	9	2	3	4	-5	9
12	Stromsgodset	8	2	2	4	-3	8
13	Ham-Kam	8	2	1	5	-9	7
14	Sandefjord	8	1	3	4	-5	6
15	Haugesund	8	1	3	4	-7	6
16	Aalesund	9	1	1	7	-13	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	5	4	1	0	+11	13
2	Brann	5	4	1	0	+10	13
3	Stabaek	5	3	2	0	+5	11
4	Molde	5	3	1	1	+8	10
5	Viking	4	3	1	0	+7	10
6	Sarpsborg 08	4	2	1	1	+1	7
7	Ham-Kam	5	2	1	2	-1	7
8	Rosenborg	5	2	1	2	-2	7
9	Stromsgodset	3	2	0	1	+1	6
10	Lillestrom	4	2	0	2	+0	6
11	Odd	4	1	2	1	+1	5
12	Haugesund	4	1	2	1	+0	5
13	Sandefjord	3	1	1	1	+3	4
14	Tromso	4	1	1	2	-1	4
15	Aalesund	4	1	1	2	-2	4
16	Valerenga	3	1	0	2	+0	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Tromso	4	3	1	0	+3	10
3	Sarpsborg 08	4	2	2	0	+3	8
4	Valerenga	5	2	1	2	+0	7
5	Lillestrom	4	2	1	1	+0	7
6	Odd	5	1	2	2	-2	5
7	Brann	4	1	1	2	-1	4
8	Viking	4	1	1	2	-4	4
9	Molde	4	1	0	3	+0	3
10	Stabaek	3	1	0	2	-6	3
11	Rosenborg	4	0	2	2	-3	2
12	Stromsgodset	5	0	2	3	-4	2
13	Sandefjord	5	0	2	3	-8	2
14	Haugesund	4	0	1	3	-7	1
15	Ham-Kam	3	0	0	3	-8	0
16	Aalesund	5	0	0	5	-11	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.