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Eredivisie
Referee: D Makkelie
Den Haag
S S S S U
4–4
Full-time
Excelsior
U S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Den Haag Excelsior
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 67%
67%
67%
Points per game
2,2
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
83%
67%
Both score Ø 84%
100%
67%
Average goals
3,2
3,5
Scored
1,8
2,5
Conceded
1,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+1,5
This season — Eredivisie · 5/5 matches
Win Ø 70%
80%
60%
Points per game
2,6
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 70%
80%
60%
Both score Ø 80%
100%
60%
Average goals
2,8
3,0
Scored
1,8
2,2
Conceded
1,0
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+1,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

48% Possession 52%
19 Shots 20
8 Shots on target 11
4 Blocked shots 2
7 Goalkeeper saves 4
5 Corners 5
3 Offside 3
11 Free kicks against 9
6 Yellow cards 1
1 Red cards 1
The table before the match ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Ajax 34 26 5 3 +79 83
2 PSV Eindhoven 34 26 3 5 +44 81
3 Feyenoord 34 22 5 7 +42 71
4 Twente 34 20 8 6 +18 68
5 AZ Alkmaar 34 17 6 11 +20 57
6 Vitesse 34 16 4 14 -11 52
7 Utrecht 34 13 10 11 +5 49
8 Heerenveen 34 12 8 14 -11 44
9 Cambuur 34 11 6 17 -17 39
10 Waalwijk 34 9 11 14 -11 38
11 Nijmegen 34 10 8 16 -14 38
12 Groningen 34 9 9 16 -14 36
13 Go Ahead Eagles 34 10 6 18 -14 36
14 Sparta Rotterdam 34 8 11 15 -18 35
15 For Sittard 34 10 5 19 -31 35
16 Heracles 36 9 7 20 -21 34
17 Willem II 34 9 6 19 -25 33
18 Zwolle 34 7 6 21 -26 27

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

24. May -22 Excelsior – Den Haag 1–1 25. Apr -19 Den Haag – Excelsior 3–1 1. Sep -18 Excelsior – Den Haag 2–4 16. Mar -18 Excelsior – Den Haag 1–2 15. Oct -17 Den Haag – Excelsior 1–2

Match report

Den Haag Excelsior
28′
ℹ️ Marouan Azarkan
VAR: Penalty awarded
Jamal Amofa 🟨
29′
30′
🟨 Mats Wieffer
1–0 T. Verheydt ⚽
B. Kemper
34′
2–0 Felipe Pires ⚽
H. Matthys
40′
Dhoraso Moreo Klas 🟨
42′
Sem Steijn 🟨
43′
Half-time 3–0
3–0 S. Steijn ⚽
R. Kishna
47′
63′
🔁 C. Driouech
↦ K. Goudmijn
63′
🔁 B. Ormonde-Ottewill
↦ N. Tjoe-A-On
63′
🔁 M. Chacón
↦ J. Eijgenraam
Tyrese Asante 🟨
65′
S. Bourard 🔁
↦ R. Kishna
66′
Tyrese Asante 🟨
69′
Tyrese Asante 🟥
69′
78′
⚽ M. Azarkan 3–1
M. Chacón
82′
ℹ️ Reuven Niemeijer
VAR: Goal cancelled
83′
⚽ R. Niemeijer 3–2
M. Wieffer
Guillem Rodríguez 🔁
↦ S. Bourard
86′
S. Esajas 🔁
↦ S. Steijn
86′
86′
🔁 L. Admiraal
↦ R. Niemeijer
A. Ćatić 🔁
↦ Guillem Rodríguez
90′
91′
ℹ️ Michael Chacón
VAR: Card upgrade
92′
🟥 Michael Chacón
93′
⚽ T. Dallinga 3–3
M. Azarkan
S. Komljenovic 🔁
↦ T. Verheydt
93′
Felipe Pires 🟨
96′
4–3 S. Komljenovic ⚽
A. Ćatić
97′
99′
🔁 J. Baas
↦ M. Azarkan
D. Puclin 🔁
↦ G. Breinburg
105′
108′
⚽ R. El Yaakoubi 4–4
J. Baas
113′
🔁 R. Eyongo
↦ T. Dallinga
121′
⚽ R. El Yaakoubi 4–5
5–5 B. Kemper ⚽
122′
123′
⚽ J. Baas 5–6
6–6 H. Matthys ⚽
124′
125′
❌ R. Eyongo
penalty missed
D. Klas ❌
penalty missed
126′
127′
⚽ S. Nieuwpoort 6–7
7–7 S. Komljenovic ⚽
128′
129′
⚽ C. Driouech 7–8
8–8 Felipe Pires ⚽
130′
131′
⚽ B. Ormonde-Ottewill 8–9
9–9 D. Puclin ⚽
132′
133′
⚽ L. Admiraal 9–10
10–10 A. Ćatić ⚽
134′
135′
⚽ M. Wieffer 10–11
11–11 S. Esajas ⚽
136′
137′
⚽ S. Horemans 11–12
J. Amofa ❌
penalty missed
138′
Full-time 11–12

Line-ups

Den Haag

4-2-3-1
23 H. Wentges G
3 H. Matthys D
4 B. Kemper D
14 T. Asante D
25 J. Amofa D
21 G. Breinburg M
6 D. Klas M
26 S. Steijn M
9 T. Verheydt F
11 R. Kishna M
7 Felipe Pires M
Bench (12)
10 S. Bourard
45 Guillem Rodríguez
39 S. Esajas
34 A. Ćatić
15 S. Komljenovic
8 D. Puclin
53 D. Janmaat
31 N. Owusu
28 K. Nikiema
27 X. Severina
32 B. Reemst
29 A. Damen

Coach: G. Franken

Excelsior

4-4-2
1 S. van Gassel G
16 S. Nieuwpoort D
2 S. Horemans D
4 R. El Yaakoubi D
28 N. Tjoe-A-On D
10 R. Niemeijer F
21 K. Goudmijn M
8 M. Wieffer M
32 J. Eijgenraam M
11 M. Azarkan M
9 T. Dallinga F
Bench (11)
14 C. Driouech
24 B. Ormonde-Ottewill
27 M. Chacón
37 L. Admiraal
33 J. Baas
35 R. Eyongo
34 S. Seymor
20 B. Geens
6 A. Aberkane
5 N. Vlasenko
38 P. Kuiper

Coach: M. Dijkhuizen

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

D Makkelie · 193 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,5 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.