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Primeira Liga
Referee: Sergio Piscarreta
Academica
S T S T S
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Academica Pacos Ferreira
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,5
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 84%
100%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
4,0
3,3
Scored
1,7
2,3
Conceded
2,3
1,0
Goal diff per game
-0,7
+1,3
This season — Primeira Liga · 17/17 matches
Win Ø 36%
24%
47%
Points per game
0,9
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
47%
41%
Both score Ø 47%
53%
41%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
0,9
1,5
Conceded
1,8
1,1
Goal diff per game
-0,9
+0,4
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

49% Possession 51%
13 Shots 9
2 Shots on target 2
3 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 1
5 Corners 8
6 Offside 1
0 Free kicks against 0
3 Yellow cards 4
0 Red cards 1
The table before the match Academica 16. · Pacos Ferreira 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Sp Lisbon 18 14 3 1 +26 45
2 Benfica 17 13 1 3 +34 40
3 Porto 17 12 4 1 +26 40
4 Sp Braga 17 8 5 4 +14 29
5 Pacos Ferreira 17 8 4 5 +7 28
6 Rio Ave 17 7 4 6 +2 25
7 Arouca 17 5 9 3 +3 24
8 Guimaraes 17 6 5 6 -4 23
9 Vitoria Setubal 17 5 7 5 -2 22
10 Maritimo 17 6 3 8 -9 21
11 Estoril 17 5 5 7 -5 20
12 Belenenses 17 4 6 7 -16 18
13 Nacional 17 4 5 8 -6 17
14 Moreirense 17 4 5 8 -8 17
15 U. Madeira 17 4 5 8 -12 17
16 Academica 17 4 4 9 -15 16
17 Boavista 17 2 4 11 -18 10
18 Tondela 18 2 3 13 -17 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Academica Pacos Ferreira
16′
🟨 Romeu
17′
Diogo Jota 0–1
24′
🟨 André Leal
Marinho 🟨
26′
Half-time 1–1
1–1 João Real
46′
56′
🟨 João Góis
Hugo Seco 🔁
↦ Marinho
58′
Christopher Oualembo 🟨
64′
Rafael Lopes 🔁
↦ Gonçalo Paciência
66′
Nuno Piloto 🔁
↦ Rui Pedro
73′
77′
🔁 Fábio Martins
↦ Andrézinho
82′
🔁 Manuel José
↦ Paraiba
Leandro Silva 🟨
84′
84′
🟨 Romeu
84′
🟥 Romeu
87′
🔁 Christian
↦ Bruno Moreira
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Academica

88 Pedro Trigueira G
13 João Real D
2 Aderlan
23 William Gustavo
20 Rui Pedro M
65 Fernando Alexandre M
22 C. Oualembo D
21 Leandro Silva M
10 Ivanildo M
7 Marinho F
19 Gonçalo Paciência F
Bench (7)
77 Hugo Seco
30 Rafael Lopes
28 Nuno Piloto
5 Ricardo Nascimento
9 Rabiola
27 Pedro Nuno
32 Lee

Pacos Ferreira

28 Marafona
13 João Góis D
6 Fábio Cardoso D
25 Pelé M
2 Marco Baixinho D
5 Hélder Lopes D
4 Romeu
18 Diogo Jota F
20 Andrézinho M
11 Bruno Moreira F
12 Paraiba M
Bench (7)
47 Fábio Martins
81 Manuel José
8 Christian
1 Rafael Defendi
16 B. Osei
21 João Silva
94 Bruno Santos

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Sergio Piscarreta · 11 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
6,9 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
11,1 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,50 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.