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Primeira Liga
Referee: Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida
Sp Lisbon
U T S S S
3–1
Full-time
Maritimo
S U T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Sp Lisbon Maritimo
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,2
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
3,2
3,0
Scored
2,3
1,5
Conceded
0,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
+1,5
+0,0
This season — Primeira Liga · 28/28 matches
Win Ø 54%
75%
32%
Points per game
2,4
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 52%
54%
50%
Both score Ø 52%
46%
57%
Average goals
2,9
3,2
Scored
2,2
1,4
Conceded
0,7
1,9
Goal diff per game
+1,5
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

66% Possession 34%
15 Shots 14
7 Shots on target 6
4 Blocked shots 3
5 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 8
2 Offside 7
0 Free kicks against 0
0 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Sp Lisbon 2. · Maritimo 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Benfica 29 24 1 4 +58 73
2 Sp Lisbon 28 21 5 2 +42 68
3 Porto 28 19 4 5 +29 61
4 Sp Braga 28 14 8 6 +20 50
5 Arouca 29 11 12 6 +5 45
6 Rio Ave 28 12 6 10 +0 42
7 Estoril 28 11 6 11 +1 39
8 Pacos Ferreira 28 9 9 10 -1 36
9 Guimaraes 28 8 11 9 -5 35
10 Nacional 28 9 7 12 -8 34
11 Belenenses 28 8 9 11 -21 33
12 Maritimo 28 9 5 14 -14 32
13 Vitoria Setubal 28 6 11 11 -12 29
14 Moreirense 28 7 7 14 -14 28
15 Boavista 29 6 8 15 -14 26
16 U. Madeira 28 6 8 14 -19 26
17 Academica 29 5 8 16 -23 23
18 Tondela 28 4 5 19 -24 17

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

5. Dec -15 Maritimo – Sp Lisbon 0–1

Match report

Sp Lisbon Maritimo
1–0 T. Gutiérrez
42′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 William Carvalho
53′
M. Zeegelaar 🔁
↦ Bruno César
58′
60′
🔁 G. Ghazaryan
↦ Éber
64′
🟨 Maurício Antônio
72′
🔁 B. Diawara
↦ Alex Soares
3–0 I. Slimani
76′
Matheus Pereira 🔁
↦ João Mário
77′
78′
🔁 G. Nepomuceno
↦ Edgar Costa
81′
G. Ghazaryan 3–1
Gelson Martins 🔁
↦ T. Gutiérrez
89′
90′
🟨 Donald Djousse
Full-time 3–1

Line-ups

Sp Lisbon

1 Rui Patrício G
13 S. Coates D
6 A. Aquilani M
2 E. Schelotto D
14 William Carvalho M
17 João Mário M
35 Rúben Semedo D
20 B. Ruiz M
19 T. Gutiérrez F
11 Bruno César M
9 I. Slimani F
Bench (7)
31 M. Zeegelaar
73 Matheus Pereira
60 Gelson Martins
26 A. Jug
29 H. Barcos
47 Ricardo Esgaio
55 Tobias Figueiredo

Maritimo

78 R. Salin
5 Dirceu D
2 João Diogo D
91 Patrick D
62 Maurício
23 D. Plessis M
35 Fransérgio M
11 Éber M
7 Alex Soares M
60 D. Djoussé F
12 Edgar Costa F
Bench (7)
10 G. Ghazaryan
90 B. Diawara
17 G. Nepomuceno
1 Wellington
21 Briguel
26 Romário
50 António Xavier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Nuno Miguel Serrano Almeida · 167 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
28,1 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,30 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.