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Primeira Liga

Referee: Artur Soares Dias

Nacional

T T U T T

1–3

Full-time

Benfica

S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Nacional Benfica

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

0,2

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

67%

17%

Both score Ø 33%

33%

Average goals

3,2

2,2

Scored

0,5

1,8

Conceded

2,7

0,3

Goal diff per game

-2,2

+1,5

This season — Primeira Liga · 1/2 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

0,0

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

0,0

1,5

Conceded

2,0

0,5

Goal diff per game

-2,0

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

38% Possession 62%

10 Shots 18

3 Shots on target 6

2 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 2

7 Corners 13

4 Offside 0

11 Free kicks against 13

1 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nacional 16. · Benfica 6. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Guimaraes	3	2	0	1	+3	6
3	Porto	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Moreirense	2	1	1	0	+3	4
6	Benfica	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Vitoria Setubal	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Boavista	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Belenenses	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Arouca	2	1	0	1	+0	3
11	Feirense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Chaves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Rio Ave	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	1	2	-3	1
15	Tondela	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Nacional	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Maritimo	2	0	0	2	-4	0
18	Estoril	3	0	0	3	-5	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Boavista	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Vitoria Setubal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Porto	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Benfica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Sp Braga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Moreirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Chaves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Belenenses	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Tondela	2	0	0	2	-3	0
16	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Estoril	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Braga	2	2	0	0	+3	6
2	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Porto	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Feirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Belenenses	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Vitoria Setubal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Rio Ave	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Boavista	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Estoril	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Arouca	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Nacional	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.