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Primeira Liga

Referee: Joao Capela

Tondela

U T T U T

2–1

Full-time

Pacos Ferreira

T T U S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tondela Pacos Ferreira

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,7

3,2

Scored

0,3

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,2

This season — Primeira Liga · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

33%

Points per game

0,3

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,7

3,2

Scored

0,3

1,7

Conceded

1,3

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+0,2

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

45% Possession 55%

10 Shots 7

2 Shots on target 4

1 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 0

5 Corners 3

1 Offside 1

17 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 4

1 Red cards 1

The table before the match Tondela 18. · Pacos Ferreira 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	6	5	1	0	+9	16
2	Sp Lisbon	6	5	0	1	+7	15
3	Porto	6	4	1	1	+7	13
4	Sp Braga	6	4	1	1	+5	13
5	Guimaraes	6	3	1	2	+1	10
6	Rio Ave	6	3	1	2	+1	10
7	Belenenses	6	2	3	1	+0	9
8	Chaves	6	2	3	1	+0	9
9	Feirense	6	3	0	3	-3	9
10	Pacos Ferreira	6	2	2	2	+1	8
11	Vitoria Setubal	6	2	2	2	+0	8
12	Nacional	6	2	0	4	-1	6
13	Maritimo	6	2	0	4	-4	6
14	Boavista	6	1	2	3	-4	5
15	Arouca	6	1	1	4	-4	4
16	Moreirense	6	1	1	4	-4	4
17	Estoril	6	1	1	4	-5	4
18	Tondela	6	0	2	4	-6	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	4	4	0	0	+8	12
2	Porto	3	3	0	0	+6	9
3	Sp Braga	3	2	1	0	+4	7
4	Rio Ave	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Vitoria Setubal	3	2	0	1	+1	6
6	Belenenses	3	1	2	0	+1	5
7	Benfica	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Guimaraes	3	1	1	1	+1	4
9	Boavista	3	1	1	1	+1	4
10	Pacos Ferreira	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Arouca	3	1	0	2	+0	3
12	Nacional	3	1	0	2	-1	3
13	Maritimo	3	1	0	2	-1	3
14	Estoril	3	1	0	2	-2	3
15	Feirense	3	1	0	2	-5	3
16	Chaves	3	0	2	1	-2	2
17	Moreirense	3	0	1	2	-2	1
18	Tondela	3	0	1	2	-3	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	4	4	0	0	+7	12
2	Chaves	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Feirense	3	2	0	1	+2	6
4	Sp Braga	3	2	0	1	+1	6
5	Guimaraes	3	2	0	1	+0	6
6	Pacos Ferreira	3	1	1	1	+1	4
7	Porto	3	1	1	1	+1	4
8	Rio Ave	3	1	1	1	+0	4
9	Belenenses	3	1	1	1	-1	4
10	Nacional	3	1	0	2	+0	3
11	Sp Lisbon	2	1	0	1	-1	3
12	Moreirense	3	1	0	2	-2	3
13	Maritimo	3	1	0	2	-3	3
14	Vitoria Setubal	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Estoril	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Tondela	3	0	1	2	-3	1
17	Arouca	3	0	1	2	-4	1
18	Boavista	3	0	1	2	-5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.