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Primeira Liga

Referee: Jorge de Sousa

Tondela

U S S T U

0–1

Full-time

Belenenses

T U S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Tondela Belenenses

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

50%

17%

Points per game

1,8

0,8

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

17%

33%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,3

2,0

Scored

1,5

0,7

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,7

This season — Primeira Liga · 2/2 matches

Win Ø 0%

Points per game

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 25%

50%

Average goals

2,0

1,0

Scored

0,5

0,0

Conceded

1,5

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

56% Possession 44%

15 Shots 17

5 Shots on target 4

5 Blocked shots 3

3 Goalkeeper saves 5

3 Corners 4

2 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 18

5 Yellow cards 4

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Tondela 13. · Belenenses 14. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Guimaraes	3	2	0	1	+3	6
2	Porto	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+3	6
4	Moreirense	2	1	1	0	+3	4
5	Benfica	2	1	1	0	+2	4
6	Vitoria Setubal	2	1	1	0	+2	4
7	Boavista	2	1	1	0	+2	4
8	Sp Braga	2	1	1	0	+1	4
9	Arouca	2	1	0	1	+0	3
10	Feirense	2	1	0	1	-1	3
11	Chaves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Rio Ave	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Belenenses	2	0	1	1	-2	1
15	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	1	2	-3	1
16	Nacional	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Estoril	2	0	0	2	-3	0
18	Maritimo	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Boavista	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Arouca	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Vitoria Setubal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	+1	3
6	Porto	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Benfica	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Sp Braga	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Moreirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Chaves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Belenenses	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-2	0
14	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Tondela	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Estoril	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Feirense	1	0	0	1	-3	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Moreirense	1	1	0	0	+3	3
2	Porto	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Feirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Vitoria Setubal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Rio Ave	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Boavista	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Estoril	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Arouca	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Nacional	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.