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Primeira Liga

Referee: Hugo Miguel

Pacos Ferreira

S S T U U

0–1

Full-time

Sp Lisbon

S S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Pacos Ferreira Sp Lisbon

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 75%

50%

100%

Points per game

1,8

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

50%

17%

Average goals

2,8

3,0

Scored

1,5

2,8

Conceded

1,3

0,2

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+2,7

This season — Primeira Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

1,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 0%

Both score Ø 50%

100%

Average goals

2,0

Scored

1,0

2,0

Conceded

1,0

0,0

Goal diff per game

+0,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

39% Possession 61%

5 Shots 14

1 Shots on target 5

1 Blocked shots 5

4 Goalkeeper saves 1

2 Corners 8

4 Offside 4

15 Free kicks against 17

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Pacos Ferreira 10. · Sp Lisbon 3. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Boavista	2	1	1	0	+2	4
2	Porto	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Feirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
6	Vitoria Setubal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
7	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	+1	3
8	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Moreirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
10	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Chaves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-2	1
13	Belenenses	2	0	1	1	-2	1
14	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-2	0
15	Arouca	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Estoril	1	0	0	1	-2	0
17	Maritimo	2	0	0	2	-4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Boavista	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Vitoria Setubal	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Moreirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Chaves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Belenenses	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Guimaraes	1	0	0	1	-1	0
8	Rio Ave	1	0	0	1	-2	0
9	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
10	Tondela	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Estoril	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+2	3
3	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Feirense	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Boavista	1	0	1	0	+0	1
9	Arouca	1	0	0	1	-2	0
10	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-2	0
11	Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.