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Premier League

Referee: P Bankes

West Ham

U U T S S

2–1

Full-time

Aston Villa

S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Ham Aston Villa

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

50%

Points per game

1,8

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

50%

83%

Both score Ø 50%

50%

Average goals

2,7

4,3

Scored

1,7

2,5

Conceded

1,0

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,7

This season — Premier League · 9/8 matches

Win Ø 54%

44%

63%

Points per game

1,6

1,9

Over 2.5 Ø 66%

56%

75%

Both score Ø 41%

44%

38%

Average goals

2,8

3,8

Scored

1,7

2,4

Conceded

1,1

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,6

+1,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

34% Possession 66%

6 Shots 16

2 Shots on target 6

3 Blocked shots 3

5 Goalkeeper saves 0

3 Corners 7

1 Offside 3

20 Free kicks against 7

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match West Ham 11. · Aston Villa 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tottenham	10	6	3	1	+12	21
2	Liverpool	10	6	3	1	+5	21
3	Chelsea	10	5	4	1	+12	19
4	Leicester	10	6	0	4	+5	18
5	Southampton	10	5	2	3	+3	17
6	Wolves	10	5	2	3	+0	17
7	Everton	10	5	1	4	+2	16
8	Man United	9	5	1	3	+0	16
9	Aston Villa	8	5	0	3	+8	15
10	Man City	9	4	3	2	+4	15
11	West Ham	9	4	2	3	+5	14
12	Leeds	10	4	2	4	-2	14
13	Newcastle	10	4	2	4	-3	14
14	Arsenal	10	4	1	5	-2	13
15	Crystal Palace	10	4	1	5	-3	13
16	Brighton	10	2	4	4	-2	10
17	Fulham	10	2	1	7	-8	7
18	West Brom	10	1	3	6	-11	6
19	Burnley	9	1	2	6	-13	5
20	Sheffield United	10	0	1	9	-12	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	5	5	0	0	+8	15
2	Southampton	5	3	0	2	+2	9
3	Chelsea	5	2	2	1	+5	8
4	Tottenham	5	2	2	1	+2	8
5	Wolves	5	2	2	1	+1	8
6	Man City	4	2	1	1	+3	7
7	West Ham	4	2	1	1	+3	7
8	Everton	5	2	1	2	+2	7
9	Crystal Palace	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Aston Villa	5	2	0	3	+1	6
11	Leicester	5	2	0	3	-2	6
12	Arsenal	5	2	0	3	-3	6
13	Newcastle	5	2	0	3	-5	6
14	Leeds	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	West Brom	5	1	2	2	-3	5
16	Man United	5	1	1	3	-7	4
17	Brighton	5	0	3	2	-3	3
18	Burnley	4	1	0	3	-4	3
19	Fulham	5	1	0	4	-6	3
20	Sheffield United	5	0	1	4	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Tottenham	5	4	1	0	+10	13
2	Leicester	5	4	0	1	+7	12
3	Man United	4	4	0	0	+7	12
4	Chelsea	5	3	2	0	+7	11
5	Aston Villa	3	3	0	0	+7	9
6	Leeds	5	3	0	2	+1	9
7	Everton	5	3	0	2	+0	9
8	Wolves	5	3	0	2	-1	9
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	+2	8
10	Southampton	5	2	2	1	+1	8
11	Man City	5	2	2	1	+1	8
12	West Ham	5	2	1	2	+2	7
13	Brighton	5	2	1	2	+1	7
14	Arsenal	5	2	1	2	+1	7
15	Liverpool	5	1	3	1	-3	6
16	Crystal Palace	5	2	0	3	-4	6
17	Fulham	5	1	1	3	-2	4
18	Burnley	5	0	2	3	-9	2
19	West Brom	5	0	1	4	-8	1
20	Sheffield United	5	0	0	5	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.