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Süper Lig

Referee: Alper Ulusoy

Kayserispor

S T T T U

0–0

Full-time

Karagumruk

U T S U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kayserispor Karagumruk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 17%

17%

Points per game

0,7

1,0

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 67%

50%

83%

Average goals

2,2

3,2

Scored

0,7

1,7

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,2

This season — Süper Lig · 8/9 matches

Win Ø 29%

25%

33%

Points per game

0,9

1,4

Over 2.5 Ø 41%

25%

56%

Both score Ø 53%

38%

67%

Average goals

2,0

3,1

Scored

0,6

1,9

Conceded

1,4

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

+0,7

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

54% Possession 46%

18 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 4

3 Blocked shots 2

4 Goalkeeper saves 5

6 Corners 4

1 Offside 2

14 Free kicks against 12

1 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Kayserispor 18. · Karagumruk 8. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alanyaspor	9	7	2	0	+16	23
2	Galatasaray	10	6	2	2	+9	20
3	Fenerbahce	10	6	2	2	+7	20
4	Besiktas	9	5	1	3	+0	16
5	Kasimpasa	10	4	3	3	+3	15
6	Gaziantep	10	3	6	1	+2	15
7	Buyuksehyr	10	4	2	4	+1	14
8	Karagumruk	9	3	4	2	+6	13
9	Konyaspor	9	3	3	3	+3	12
10	Rizespor	9	3	3	3	-2	12
11	Yeni Malatyaspor	9	3	3	3	-2	12
12	Hatayspor	7	3	3	1	-2	12
13	Trabzonspor	10	3	3	4	-3	12
14	Goztep	8	2	5	1	+5	11
15	Antalyaspor	10	2	4	4	-5	10
16	Sivasspor	8	2	3	3	-2	9
17	Erzurumspor	9	2	3	4	-4	9
18	Kayserispor	8	2	1	5	-6	7
19	Denizlispor	9	1	3	5	-8	6
20	Genclerbirligi	9	1	2	6	-10	5
21	Ankaragücü	8	0	2	6	-8	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Alanyaspor	5	4	1	0	+11	13
2	Karagumruk	5	3	2	0	+9	11
3	Kasimpasa	5	3	2	0	+5	11
4	Yeni Malatyaspor	4	3	1	0	+4	10
5	Gaziantep	5	2	3	0	+3	9
6	Buyuksehyr	5	2	2	1	+3	8
7	Hatayspor	4	2	2	0	+3	8
8	Galatasaray	5	2	2	1	+2	8
9	Goztep	4	2	1	1	+5	7
10	Konyaspor	4	2	1	1	+3	7
11	Besiktas	4	2	1	1	+1	7
12	Fenerbahce	5	2	1	2	+0	7
13	Antalyaspor	5	2	1	2	+0	7
14	Rizespor	5	2	1	2	-2	7
15	Trabzonspor	5	2	0	3	-2	6
16	Erzurumspor	5	0	3	2	-2	3
17	Kayserispor	4	1	0	3	-4	3
18	Denizlispor	4	0	2	2	-2	2
19	Genclerbirligi	4	0	2	2	-5	2
20	Ankaragücü	4	0	1	3	-3	1
21	Sivasspor	4	0	1	3	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Fenerbahce	5	4	1	0	+7	13
2	Galatasaray	5	4	0	1	+7	12
3	Alanyaspor	4	3	1	0	+5	10
4	Besiktas	5	3	0	2	-1	9
5	Sivasspor	4	2	2	0	+3	8
6	Gaziantep	5	1	3	1	-1	6
7	Trabzonspor	5	1	3	1	-1	6
8	Buyuksehyr	5	2	0	3	-2	6
9	Erzurumspor	4	2	0	2	-2	6
10	Rizespor	4	1	2	1	+0	5
11	Konyaspor	5	1	2	2	+0	5
12	Goztep	4	0	4	0	+0	4
13	Kasimpasa	5	1	1	3	-2	4
14	Kayserispor	4	1	1	2	-2	4
15	Hatayspor	3	1	1	1	-5	4
16	Denizlispor	5	1	1	3	-6	4
17	Antalyaspor	5	0	3	2	-5	3
18	Genclerbirligi	5	1	0	4	-5	3
19	Karagumruk	4	0	2	2	-3	2
20	Yeni Malatyaspor	5	0	2	3	-6	2
21	Ankaragücü	4	0	1	3	-5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.