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Serie B
0–1
Full-time
Spal
T S S S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Virtus Entella Spal
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
0%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
0,8
2,0
Conceded
1,8
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,8
This season — Serie B · 8/8 matches
Win Ø 25%
0%
50%
Points per game
0,6
1,9
Over 2.5 Ø 32%
25%
38%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,3
2,6
Scored
0,6
1,6
Conceded
1,6
1,0
Goal diff per game
-1,0
+0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

11 Shots 10
3 Shots on target 3
5 Corners 3
25 Free kicks against 8
3 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Virtus Entella 18. · Spal 6.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Salernitana 9 6 2 1 +8 20
2 Lecce 9 5 3 1 +12 18
3 Empoli 9 5 3 1 +7 18
4 Venezia 9 5 2 2 +7 17
5 Frosinone 9 5 1 3 +1 16
6 Spal 8 4 3 1 +5 15
7 Cittadella 8 4 2 2 +7 14
8 Chievo 8 4 2 2 +3 14
9 Monza 8 3 4 1 +3 13
10 Pordenone 9 2 6 1 +1 12
11 Brescia 8 2 3 3 -1 9
12 Cosenza 9 1 5 3 -2 8
13 Reggiana 8 2 2 4 -8 8
14 Vicenza 7 1 4 2 -1 7
15 Reggina 9 1 4 4 -4 7
16 Pisa 8 1 4 3 -7 7
17 Ascoli 8 1 2 5 -5 5
18 Virtus Entella 8 0 5 3 -8 5
19 Cremonese 8 0 4 4 -5 4
20 Pescara 9 1 1 7 -13 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
3,23
U
3,08
B ✓
2,27
Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
O2,5
2,05
U2,5 ✓
1,74
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.