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Primeira Liga

Referee: Manuel Mota

Maritimo

S T T U T

1–2

Full-time

Benfica

S S S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Maritimo Benfica

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,2

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 58%

83%

33%

Average goals

2,8

3,3

Scored

1,3

2,0

Conceded

1,5

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,2

+0,7

This season — Primeira Liga · 7/7 matches

Win Ø 50%

29%

71%

Points per game

1,0

2,1

Over 2.5 Ø 71%

71%

Both score Ø 57%

71%

43%

Average goals

2,7

3,7

Scored

1,1

2,4

Conceded

1,6

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,4

+1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

27% Possession 73%

5 Shots 12

2 Shots on target 2

0 Blocked shots 6

0 Goalkeeper saves 1

1 Corners 12

2 Offside 0

21 Free kicks against 9

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Maritimo 15. · Benfica 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	8	7	1	0	+16	22
2	Sp Braga	8	6	0	2	+6	18
3	Porto	8	5	1	2	+9	16
4	Benfica	7	5	0	2	+8	15
5	Guimaraes	8	4	1	3	-1	13
6	Pacos Ferreira	7	3	2	2	+1	11
7	Nacional	8	2	4	2	+0	10
8	Santa Clara	8	3	1	4	-1	10
9	Rio Ave	8	2	4	2	-2	10
10	Famalicao	8	2	3	3	-5	9
11	Gil Vicente	8	2	2	4	-2	8
12	Moreirense	7	2	2	3	-2	8
13	Belenenses	8	1	5	2	-2	8
14	Tondela	8	2	2	4	-8	8
15	Maritimo	7	2	1	4	-3	7
16	Boavista	8	1	4	3	-5	7
17	Portimonense	8	2	1	5	-5	7
18	Farense	8	1	2	5	-4	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	4	3	1	0	+7	10
2	Porto	4	3	0	1	+4	9
3	Benfica	4	3	0	1	+4	9
4	Pacos Ferreira	4	3	0	1	+2	9
5	Sp Braga	4	3	0	1	+2	9
6	Moreirense	3	2	1	0	+3	7
7	Gil Vicente	4	2	1	1	+2	7
8	Tondela	5	2	1	2	-3	7
9	Nacional	4	1	3	0	+1	6
10	Famalicao	4	1	2	1	-3	5
11	Farense	4	1	1	2	+0	4
12	Santa Clara	4	1	1	2	+0	4
13	Maritimo	3	1	1	1	+0	4
14	Rio Ave	3	1	1	1	-1	4
15	Portimonense	4	1	1	2	-2	4
16	Boavista	4	1	1	2	-3	4
17	Belenenses	4	0	3	1	-1	3
18	Guimaraes	4	1	0	3	-5	3

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	4	4	0	0	+9	12
2	Guimaraes	4	3	1	0	+4	10
3	Sp Braga	4	3	0	1	+4	9
4	Porto	4	2	1	1	+5	7
5	Benfica	3	2	0	1	+4	6
6	Santa Clara	4	2	0	2	-1	6
7	Rio Ave	5	1	3	1	-1	6
8	Belenenses	4	1	2	1	-1	5
9	Nacional	4	1	1	2	-1	4
10	Famalicao	4	1	1	2	-2	4
11	Boavista	4	0	3	1	-2	3
12	Maritimo	4	1	0	3	-3	3
13	Portimonense	4	1	0	3	-3	3
14	Pacos Ferreira	3	0	2	1	-1	2
15	Farense	4	0	1	3	-4	1
16	Gil Vicente	4	0	1	3	-4	1
17	Tondela	3	0	1	2	-5	1
18	Moreirense	4	0	1	3	-5	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.