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Bundesliga
Referee: Tobias Stieler
Dortmund
U S T S S
0–0
Full-time
FC Koln
T S T T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Dortmund FC Koln
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
67%
33%
Points per game
2,2
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,3
3,3
Scored
2,0
1,7
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
+0,7
+0,0
This season — Bundesliga · 30/30 matches
Win Ø 43%
53%
33%
Points per game
1,9
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
63%
53%
Both score Ø 65%
67%
63%
Average goals
3,3
2,7
Scored
2,2
1,4
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+1,0
+0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

71% Possession 29%
23 Shots 5
4 Shots on target 0
6 Blocked shots 3
0 Goalkeeper saves 4
9 Corners 0
6 Offside 6
8 Free kicks against 12
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Dortmund 3. · FC Koln 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 30 21 7 2 +56 70
2 RB Leipzig 30 19 5 6 +25 62
3 Dortmund 30 16 8 6 +30 56
4 Hoffenheim 30 14 13 3 +25 55
5 Hertha 30 14 4 12 +3 46
6 Freiburg 30 13 5 12 -14 44
7 Werder Bremen 30 12 6 12 -1 42
8 Schalke 04 31 11 8 12 +7 41
9 FC Koln 30 10 11 9 +6 41
10 Ein Frankfurt 30 11 8 11 -2 41
11 M'gladbach 30 11 6 13 -5 39
12 Leverkusen 31 10 6 15 -6 36
13 Mainz 30 9 6 15 -10 33
14 Wolfsburg 30 9 6 15 -13 33
15 Hamburg 30 9 6 15 -25 33
16 Augsburg 30 8 8 14 -20 32
17 FC Ingolstadt 04 30 8 4 18 -21 28
18 Darmstadt 30 6 3 21 -35 21

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Dortmund FC Koln
Erik Durm 🟨
9′
39′
🟨 Leonardo Bittencourt
Half-time 0–0
55′
🔁 S. Zoller
↦ A. Rudņevs
O. Dembélé 🔁
↦ M. Reus
66′
Raphaël Guerreiro 🔁
↦ S. Kagawa
66′
71′
🔁 M. Höger
↦ L. Bittencourt
Ł. Piszczek 🔁
↦ S. Papastathopoulos
74′
80′
🔁 S. Özcan
↦ M. Jojić
Gonzalo Castro 🟨
84′
90′
🟨 Lukas Klünter
Full-time 0–0

Line-ups

Dortmund

4-2-3-1
38 R. Bürki G
25 S. Papastathopoulos D
29 M. Schmelzer D
37 E. Durm M
28 M. Ginter D
23 S. Kagawa M
27 G. Castro M
33 J. Weigl M
22 C. Pulisic M
17 P. Aubameyang F
11 M. Reus M
Bench (7)
7 O. Dembélé
13 Raphaël Guerreiro
26 Ł. Piszczek
1 R. Weidenfeller
6 S. Bender
14 A. Isak
24 Mikel Merino

Coach: T. Tuchel

FC Koln

4-1-4-1
1 T. Horn G
2 N. Subotić D
14 J. Hector M
4 F. Sørensen D
3 D. Heintz D
24 L. Klünter D
33 M. Lehmann M
8 M. Jojić M
21 L. Bittencourt M
27 A. Modeste F
9 A. Rudņevs F
Bench (7)
11 S. Zoller
6 M. Höger
20 S. Özcan
5 D. Maroh
17 C. Clemens
18 T. Kessler
30 M. Hartel

Coach: P. Stöger

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
U1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Tobias Stieler · 91 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
21,6 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.