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Primeira Liga

Referee: Jorge de Sousa

Chaves

T T U T T

0–1

Full-time

Benfica

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Chaves Benfica

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

67%

Points per game

0,3

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,2

Scored

1,0

2,3

Conceded

2,2

0,8

Goal diff per game

-1,2

+1,5

This season — Primeira Liga · 1/1 matches

Win Ø 50%

100%

Points per game

0,0

3,0

Over 2.5 Ø 100%

100%

Both score Ø 100%

100%

Average goals

5,0

4,0

Scored

2,0

3,0

Conceded

3,0

1,0

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+2,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

35% Possession 65%

9 Shots 25

3 Shots on target 10

1 Blocked shots 7

8 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 13

2 Offside 3

12 Free kicks against 14

1 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Chaves 17. · Benfica 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	2	2	0	0	+5	6
2	Sp Lisbon	2	2	0	0	+3	6
3	Rio Ave	2	2	0	0	+2	6
4	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
5	Portimonense	2	1	0	1	+0	3
6	Belenenses	2	1	0	1	+0	3
7	Maritimo	2	1	0	1	+0	3
8	Estoril	2	1	0	1	-1	3
9	Sp Braga	2	1	0	1	-1	3
10	Guimaraes	2	1	0	1	-2	3
11	Moreirense	2	0	2	0	+0	2
12	Feirense	2	0	2	0	+0	2
13	Pacos Ferreira	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	Vitoria Setubal	2	0	1	1	-1	1
15	Tondela	2	0	1	1	-1	1
16	Aves	2	0	1	1	-2	1
17	Chaves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
18	Boavista	2	0	0	2	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Porto	1	1	0	0	+4	3
2	Estoril	1	1	0	0	+3	3
3	Benfica	1	1	0	0	+2	3
4	Guimaraes	1	1	0	0	+1	3
5	Portimonense	1	1	0	0	+1	3
6	Sp Braga	1	1	0	0	+1	3
7	Belenenses	1	1	0	0	+1	3
8	Maritimo	1	1	0	0	+1	3
9	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+1	3
10	Rio Ave	1	1	0	0	+1	3
11	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	1	0	+0	1
12	Vitoria Setubal	1	0	1	0	+0	1
13	Feirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
14	Moreirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
15	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-1	0
16	Tondela	1	0	0	1	-1	0
17	Aves	1	0	0	1	-2	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	1	1	0	0	+2	3
2	Rio Ave	1	1	0	0	+1	3
3	Porto	1	1	0	0	+1	3
4	Aves	1	0	1	0	+0	1
5	Moreirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
6	Tondela	1	0	1	0	+0	1
7	Feirense	1	0	1	0	+0	1
8	Chaves	1	0	0	1	-1	0
9	Boavista	1	0	0	1	-1	0
10	Portimonense	1	0	0	1	-1	0
11	Maritimo	1	0	0	1	-1	0
12	Pacos Ferreira	1	0	0	1	-1	0
13	Vitoria Setubal	1	0	0	1	-1	0
14	Belenenses	1	0	0	1	-1	0
15	Sp Braga	1	0	0	1	-2	0
16	Guimaraes	1	0	0	1	-3	0
17	Estoril	1	0	0	1	-4	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.