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Primeira Liga
Referee: Helder Malheiro
Vitoria Setubal
U T T T S
2–0
Full-time
Aves
S T S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Vitoria Setubal Aves
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
0,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
2,8
2,5
Scored
0,8
1,2
Conceded
2,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
-1,2
-0,2
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

58% Possession 42%
15 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 1
2 Blocked shots 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
9 Corners 3
5 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 16
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 2

Recent head-to-head meetings

29. Mar -18 Aves – Vitoria Setubal 1–4 3. Nov -17 Vitoria Setubal – Aves 0–1

Match report

Vitoria Setubal Aves
1–0 Costinha ⚽
Frédéric Mendy
3′
41′
🟨 Jorge Fellipe
45′
🟥 Claudio Falcão
Half-time 1–0
50′
🟨 Derley
54′
🔁 Rúben Oliveira
↦ Nildo Petrolina
2–0 J. Cádiz ⚽
Zequinha
61′
José Semedo 🟨
62′
62′
🔁 L. Fariña
↦ Bruno Braga
André Pedrosa 🔁
↦ Semedo
65′
66′
🟨 Jorge Fellipe
66′
🟥 Jorge Fellipe
Alex 🔁
↦ Frédéric Mendy
70′
70′
🔁 Ponck
↦ Derley
Allef 🔁
↦ J. Cádiz
80′
Nuno Reis 🟨
87′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Vitoria Setubal

4-1-4-1
1 Cristiano G
5 Mano D
13 Vasco Fernandes D
21 Nuno Pinto D
22 Nuno Reis D
29 Semedo M
15 Rúben Micael M
87 Zequinha M
23 Frédéric Mendy F
11 Costinha M
99 J. Cádiz F
Bench (7)
27 André Pedrosa
9 Alex
33 Allef
96 Joel Castro
10 Éber
14 Pedro Pinto
16 André Sousa

Coach: Lito Vidigal

Aves

4-3-3
24 Q. Beunardeau G
21 Nelson Lenho D
46 Jorge Fellipe D
44 Diego Galo D
2 Rodrigo Alves D
8 Bruno Braga M
30 Vitor Gomes M
16 Nildo Petrolina M
29 Claudio Falcão M
33 Derley F
23 Amilton M
Bench (7)
7 Rúben Oliveira
11 L. Fariña
26 Ponck
1 Marco Pinto
5 Rodrigo Defendi
9 Michel Douglas
50 Baldé

Coach: José Mota

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5
–
🔒
U2,5 ✓
–
🔒
O3,5
–
🔒
U3,5 ✓
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja
–
🔒
BLS nei ✓
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Helder Malheiro · 143 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,3 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
31,3 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,32 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.