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Premier League

Referee: P Tierney

West Brom

U T T T S

1–5

Full-time

Crystal Palace

S T S T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

West Brom Crystal Palace

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

17%

33%

Points per game

0,8

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 17%

33%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,2

2,5

Scored

0,3

1,2

Conceded

0,8

1,3

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,2

This season — Premier League · 10/10 matches

Win Ø 25%

10%

40%

Points per game

0,6

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

30%

50%

Both score Ø 40%

30%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,7

Scored

0,7

1,2

Conceded

1,8

1,5

Goal diff per game

-1,1

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%

9 Shots 18

4 Shots on target 6

1 Blocked shots 6

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 6

2 Offside 3

10 Free kicks against 16

2 Yellow cards 2

1 Red cards 0

The table before the match West Brom 18. · Crystal Palace 15. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Chelsea	11	6	4	1	+14	22
2	Tottenham	10	6	3	1	+12	21
3	Liverpool	10	6	3	1	+5	21
4	Man United	10	6	1	3	+2	19
5	Man City	10	5	3	2	+6	18
6	Leicester	10	6	0	4	+5	18
7	West Ham	11	5	2	4	+4	17
8	Southampton	10	5	2	3	+3	17
9	Everton	11	5	2	4	+2	17
10	Wolves	10	5	2	3	+0	17
11	Aston Villa	9	5	0	4	+7	15
12	Newcastle	10	4	2	4	-3	14
13	Leeds	11	4	2	5	-4	14
14	Arsenal	10	4	1	5	-2	13
15	Crystal Palace	10	4	1	5	-3	13
16	Brighton	10	2	4	4	-2	10
17	Fulham	11	2	1	8	-10	7
18	West Brom	10	1	3	6	-11	6
19	Burnley	10	1	3	6	-13	6
20	Sheffield United	10	0	1	9	-12	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Liverpool	5	5	0	0	+8	15
2	Chelsea	6	3	2	1	+7	11
3	Man City	5	3	1	1	+5	10
4	West Ham	6	3	1	2	+2	10
5	Southampton	5	3	0	2	+2	9
6	Tottenham	5	2	2	1	+2	8
7	Wolves	5	2	2	1	+1	8
8	Everton	5	2	1	2	+2	7
9	Crystal Palace	5	2	1	2	+1	7
10	Aston Villa	5	2	0	3	+1	6
11	Leicester	5	2	0	3	-2	6
12	Arsenal	5	2	0	3	-3	6
13	Newcastle	5	2	0	3	-5	6
14	Leeds	5	1	2	2	-3	5
15	West Brom	5	1	2	2	-3	5
16	Burnley	5	1	1	3	-4	4
17	Man United	5	1	1	3	-7	4
18	Brighton	5	0	3	2	-3	3
19	Fulham	5	1	0	4	-6	3
20	Sheffield United	5	0	1	4	-5	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Man United	5	5	0	0	+9	15
2	Tottenham	5	4	1	0	+10	13
3	Leicester	5	4	0	1	+7	12
4	Chelsea	5	3	2	0	+7	11
5	Everton	6	3	1	2	+0	10
6	Aston Villa	4	3	0	1	+6	9
7	Leeds	6	3	0	3	-1	9
8	Wolves	5	3	0	2	-1	9
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	+2	8
10	Southampton	5	2	2	1	+1	8
11	Man City	5	2	2	1	+1	8
12	West Ham	5	2	1	2	+2	7
13	Brighton	5	2	1	2	+1	7
14	Arsenal	5	2	1	2	+1	7
15	Liverpool	5	1	3	1	-3	6
16	Crystal Palace	5	2	0	3	-4	6
17	Fulham	6	1	1	4	-4	4
18	Burnley	5	0	2	3	-9	2
19	West Brom	5	0	1	4	-8	1
20	Sheffield United	5	0	0	5	-7	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.