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Bundesliga
Referee: B Cortus
Schalke 04
T U U T T
0–3
Full-time
Leverkusen
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Schalke 04 Leverkusen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
0%
83%
Points per game
0,5
2,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
50%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,5
Scored
0,8
2,3
Conceded
2,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-1,3
+1,2
This season — Bundesliga · 9/9 matches
Win Ø 28%
0%
56%
Points per game
0,3
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 56%
67%
44%
Both score Ø 62%
56%
67%
Average goals
3,8
2,8
Scored
0,7
1,8
Conceded
3,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
-2,4
+0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

35% Possession 65%
13 Shots 24
4 Shots on target 9
4 Blocked shots 6
7 Goalkeeper saves 4
2 Corners 8
1 Offside 1
17 Free kicks against 11
2 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Schalke 04 18. · Leverkusen 4.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Bayern Munich 10 7 2 1 +18 23
2 RB Leipzig 10 6 3 1 +12 21
3 Dortmund 10 6 1 3 +12 19
4 Leverkusen 9 5 4 0 +7 19
5 Wolfsburg 10 4 6 0 +6 18
6 Union Berlin 10 4 4 2 +8 16
7 M'gladbach 10 4 4 2 +3 16
8 Stuttgart 10 3 5 2 +3 14
9 Ein Frankfurt 10 2 7 1 -2 13
10 Augsburg 9 3 3 3 -1 12
11 Hertha 10 3 2 5 -1 11
12 Werder Bremen 10 2 5 3 -3 11
13 Hoffenheim 9 2 3 4 -1 9
14 Freiburg 10 1 5 4 -10 8
15 FC Koln 10 1 4 5 -5 7
16 Bielefeld 10 2 1 7 -12 7
17 Mainz 10 1 2 7 -12 5
18 Schalke 04 9 0 3 6 -22 3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Schalke 04 Leverkusen
10′
M. Thiaw 1–0
own goal
Mark Uth 🟨
11′
Half-time 1–0
58′
🟨 Aleksandar Dragović
59′
🟨 Jonathan Tah
M. Hoppe 🔁
↦ N. Boujellab
65′
67′
J. Baumgartlinger 1–1
L. Bailey
71′
🟨 Daley Sinkgraven
Matthew Hoppe 🟨
72′
73′
🔁 E. Tapsoba
↦ F. Wirtz
78′
P. Schick 1–2
N. Amiri
79′
🔁 K. Bellarabi
↦ P. Schick
H. Mendyl 🔁
↦ B. Oczipka
83′
C. Bozdogan 🔁
↦ S. Skrzybski
83′
83′
🔁 M. Weiser
↦ L. Bender
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Schalke 04

4-2-3-1
34 M. Langer G
24 B. Oczipka D
17 B. Stambouli D
4 O. Kabak D
33 M. Thiaw D
6 Omar Mascarell M
8 S. Serdar M
16 N. Boujellab M
9 B. Raman M
22 S. Skrzybski M
7 M. Uth F
Bench (9)
43 M. Hoppe
3 H. Mendyl
40 C. Bozdogan
28 A. Schöpf
2 K. Ludewig
48 S. Ahlers
42 K. Çalhanoğlu
31 T. Becker
37 L. Mercan

Coach: M. Baum

Leverkusen

4-3-3
1 L. Hrádecký G
8 L. Bender D
6 A. Dragović D
4 J. Tah D
22 D. Sinkgraven D
15 J. Baumgartlinger M
11 N. Amiri M
27 F. Wirtz M
14 P. Schick F
9 L. Bailey F
19 M. Diaby F
Bench (9)
12 E. Tapsoba
38 K. Bellarabi
23 M. Weiser
37 E. Gedikli
5 S. Bender
16 T. Jedvaj
36 N. Lomb
18 Wendell
39 C. Türkmen

Coach: P. Bosz

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H
6,11
U
4,42
B ✓
1,52
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,66
U2,5
2,21
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

B Cortus · 53 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,1 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
24,9 / match
Above average

🟥 Red cards: 0,08 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.