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Ligue 1
Referee: T Léonard
Angers
S T S T S
2–0
Full-time
Lorient
T U T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Angers Lorient
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,7
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
67%
17%
Average goals
3,2
2,0
Scored
1,8
0,5
Conceded
1,3
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,5
-1,0
This season — Ligue 1 · 12/12 matches
Win Ø 34%
50%
17%
Points per game
1,6
0,7
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
58%
50%
Both score Ø 54%
58%
50%
Average goals
3,3
2,8
Scored
1,5
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,3
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

47% Possession 53%
10 Shots 12
3 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
3 Goalkeeper saves 1
2 Corners 12
1 Offside 0
13 Free kicks against 11
3 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Angers 9. · Lorient 18.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Paris SG 13 9 1 3 +24 28
2 Lille 13 7 5 1 +15 26
3 Marseille 11 7 3 1 +8 24
4 Lyon 12 6 5 1 +11 23
5 Monaco 13 7 2 4 +6 23
6 Montpellier 13 7 2 4 +3 23
7 Lens 12 6 3 3 +1 21
8 Rennes 13 5 4 4 +1 19
9 Angers 12 6 1 5 -4 19
10 Brest 12 6 0 6 -2 18
11 Nice 11 5 2 4 +1 17
12 Metz 12 4 4 4 +1 16
13 Bordeaux 12 4 4 4 -1 16
14 Nantes 12 3 4 5 -4 13
15 St Etienne 12 3 2 7 -8 11
16 Nimes 13 3 2 8 -13 11
17 Reims 12 2 3 7 -6 9
18 Lorient 12 2 2 8 -10 8
19 Strasbourg 12 2 1 9 -10 7
20 Dijon 12 1 4 7 -13 7

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Angers Lorient
1–0 A. Fulgini
10′
Ibrahim Amadou 🟨
21′
Sofiane Boufal 🟨
40′
Stéphane Bahoken 🟨
45′
Half-time 1–0
J. Cabot 🔁
↦ S. Boufal
55′
L. Coulibaly 🔁
↦ I. Amadou
58′
70′
🔁 Q. Boisgard
↦ Y. Wissa
76′
🔁 T. Moffi
↦ P. Hamel
76′
🔁 E. Le Fée
↦ F. Lemoine
L. Diony 🔁
↦ S. Bahoken
83′
F. El Melali 🔁
↦ Mathias Lage
83′
P. Capelle 🔁
↦ A. Fulgini
83′
84′
🔁 A. Grbić
↦ L. Abergel
90′
ℹ️ Quentin Boisgard
VAR: Goal cancelled
2–0 P. Capelle
J. Cabot
96′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Angers

4-2-3-1
1 P. Bernardoni G
24 R. Thomas D
8 I. Traoré D
29 V. Manceau D
25 A. Bamba D
5 T. Mangani M
18 I. Amadou M
13 S. Boufal M
10 A. Fulgini M
27 Mathias Lage M
19 S. Bahoken F
Bench (9)
11 J. Cabot
14 L. Coulibaly
9 L. Diony
28 F. El Melali
15 P. Capelle
23 A. Bobichon
16 L. Butelle
4 M. Pavlović
21 M. Cho

Coach: S. Moulin

Lorient

4-3-3
30 P. Nardi G
25 V. Le Goff D
15 J. Laporte D
2 A. Gravillon D
18 F. Lemoine M
22 J. Delaplace D
6 L. Abergel M
8 T. Chalobah M
29 P. Hamel F
19 Y. Wissa F
28 A. Laurienté F
Bench (9)
11 Q. Boisgard
13 T. Moffi
10 E. Le Fée
27 A. Grbić
24 F. Wadja
12 S. Marveaux
14 J. Hergault
1 M. Dreyer
5 T. Fontaine

Coach: C. Pélissier

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
1,87
U
3,61
B
4,14
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5
1,97
U2,5 ✓
1,83
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

T Léonard · 142 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,7 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
24,2 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,23 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.