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Super League

Referee: I Peljto

AEK

U S S S S

1–2

Full-time

Panathinaikos

S S T T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

AEK Panathinaikos

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

17%

Both score Ø 50%

67%

33%

Average goals

2,5

1,7

Scored

1,7

1,0

Conceded

0,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,8

+0,3

This season — Super League · 8/11 matches

Win Ø 51%

75%

27%

Points per game

2,4

1,1

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

50%

18%

Both score Ø 43%

50%

36%

Average goals

2,5

1,7

Scored

1,9

0,8

Conceded

0,6

0,9

Goal diff per game

+1,3

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

54% Possession 46%

7 Shots 7

2 Shots on target 4

2 Goalkeeper saves 2

9 Corners 2

2 Offside 6

19 Free kicks against 17

3 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match AEK 5. · Panathinaikos 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	10	9	1	0	+19	28
2	PAOK	10	7	3	0	+13	24
3	Aris Thessalonikis	10	7	2	1	+9	23
4	Aris	10	7	2	1	+9	23
5	AEK	8	6	1	1	+10	19
6	Atromitos	12	3	6	3	-4	15
7	Giannina	12	3	4	5	+0	13
8	Volos NFC	11	3	4	4	-4	13
9	Panathinaikos	11	3	3	5	-1	12
10	OFI Crete	11	3	3	5	-4	12
11	Asteras Tripolis	11	3	3	5	-4	12
12	Apollon	11	2	3	6	-5	9
13	Larisa	10	1	3	6	-12	6
14	Panetolikos	11	0	4	7	-11	4
15	Lamia	10	0	2	8	-15	2

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Olympiakos	6	6	0	0	+15	18
2	PAOK	5	4	1	0	+7	13
3	AEK	4	3	1	0	+7	10
4	Aris Thessalonikis	5	3	1	1	+3	10
5	Aris	5	3	1	1	+3	10
6	Atromitos	7	2	3	2	-1	9
7	Asteras Tripolis	4	2	1	1	+1	7
8	Panathinaikos	6	2	1	3	-1	7
9	OFI Crete	6	1	3	2	-3	6
10	Giannina	5	1	2	2	+0	5
11	Volos NFC	6	1	2	3	-4	5
12	Apollon	4	1	1	2	-2	4
13	Lamia	6	0	2	4	-6	2
14	Larisa	5	0	2	3	-8	2
15	Panetolikos	5	0	1	4	-6	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Aris Thessalonikis	5	4	1	0	+6	13
2	Aris	5	4	1	0	+6	13
3	PAOK	5	3	2	0	+6	11
4	Olympiakos	4	3	1	0	+4	10
5	AEK	4	3	0	1	+3	9
6	Giannina	7	2	2	3	+0	8
7	Volos NFC	5	2	2	1	+0	8
8	OFI Crete	5	2	0	3	-1	6
9	Atromitos	5	1	3	1	-3	6
10	Panathinaikos	5	1	2	2	+0	5
11	Apollon	7	1	2	4	-3	5
12	Asteras Tripolis	7	1	2	4	-5	5
13	Larisa	5	1	1	3	-4	4
14	Panetolikos	6	0	3	3	-5	3
15	Lamia	4	0	0	4	-9	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.