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Süper Lig
Referee: Umit Ozturk
Karagumruk
T S U U U
2–1
Full-time
Rizespor
S S S U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Karagumruk Rizespor
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 34%
17%
50%
Points per game
1,2
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
33%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
2,7
3,2
Scored
1,5
1,7
Conceded
1,2
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,2
This season — Süper Lig · 10/9 matches
Win Ø 32%
30%
33%
Points per game
1,4
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
50%
44%
Both score Ø 52%
60%
44%
Average goals
2,8
2,9
Scored
1,7
1,3
Conceded
1,1
1,6
Goal diff per game
+0,6
-0,2
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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

40% Possession 60%
8 Shots 9
4 Shots on target 3
2 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 2
6 Corners 5
5 Offside 3
17 Free kicks against 19
4 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Karagumruk 10. · Rizespor 12.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Alanyaspor 10 7 2 1 +15 23
2 Galatasaray 11 7 2 2 +12 23
3 Fenerbahce 10 6 2 2 +7 20
4 Besiktas 10 6 1 3 +3 19
5 Goztep 10 3 6 1 +6 15
6 Konyaspor 10 4 3 3 +5 15
7 Gaziantep 10 3 6 1 +2 15
8 Buyuksehyr 11 4 3 4 +1 15
9 Kasimpasa 11 4 3 4 +0 15
10 Karagumruk 10 3 5 2 +6 14
11 Yeni Malatyaspor 10 3 4 3 -2 13
12 Rizespor 9 3 3 3 -2 12
13 Trabzonspor 10 3 3 4 -3 12
14 Hatayspor 8 3 3 2 -5 12
15 Antalyaspor 10 2 4 4 -5 10
16 Sivasspor 9 2 3 4 -3 9
17 Erzurumspor 10 2 3 5 -6 9
18 Kayserispor 10 2 3 5 -6 9
19 Genclerbirligi 10 2 2 6 -9 8
20 Denizlispor 9 1 3 5 -8 6
21 Ankaragücü 8 0 2 6 -8 2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Karagumruk Rizespor
Alparslan Erdem 🟨
-5′
1–0 A. Ndao
J. Durmaz
15′
Artur Sobiech 🟨
17′
20′
Y. Meriah 1–1
D. Melnjak
2–1 A. Ndao
A. Sobiech
25′
33′
🟨 Godfred Donsah
41′
🔁 T. Torun
↦ Fabricio Baiano
Half-time 2–1
M. Erdinç 🔁
↦ A. Sobiech
46′
46′
🔁 T. Çetin
↦ G. Akkan
46′
🔁 K. Michalak
↦ O. Bulut
Y. Salibur 🔁
↦ P. NDiaye
62′
62′
🔁 Samu
↦ Fernando
73′
🔁 Y. Pehlivan
↦ G. Donsah
A. Chahechouhe 🔁
↦ Y. Salibur
76′
Mevlüt Erdinç 🟨
85′
V. Arveladze 🔁
↦ J. Durmaz
86′
Vato Arveladze 🟨
88′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Karagumruk

4-1-4-1
2 E. Viviano G
5 E. Roco D
29 J. Balkovec D
22 F. Kuruçuk D
6 L. Biglia M
71 J. Durmaz M
52 E. Sabo M
20 P. N'Diaye M
28 R. Civelek D
18 A. Ndao M
9 A. Sobiech F
Bench (10)
11 M. Erdinç
19 Y. Salibur
92 A. Chahechouhe
24 V. Arveladze
93 A. Özer
8 Z. Yıldırım
4 K. Altınay
17 M. Pehlivan
21 M. Sarıgül
3 A. Erdem

Coach: A. Canel

Rizespor

4-2-3-1
25 G. Akkan G
55 M. Moroziuk D
24 E. Dilaver D
53 D. Melnjak D
80 Y. Meriah D
5 A. Durak M
26 O. Bulut M
8 Fabricio Baiano M
23 G. Donsah M
7 L. Rémy F
37 Fernando M
Bench (10)
11 T. Torun
1 T. Çetin
17 K. Michalak
18 Samu
6 Y. Pehlivan
4 M. Talbi
54 M. Pala
66 D. Erdoğan
15 S. Ay
21 M. Škoda

Coach: S. Tomas

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

1X2
H ✓
2,33
U
3,34
B
2,95
Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
1,89
U2,5
1,89
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Umit Ozturk · 23 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
5,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
27,0 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,48 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.