Gamealyst.com

← Match Finder

Primeira Liga

Referee: Carlos Xistra

Nacional

U T T T U

0–4

Full-time

Porto

S S S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Team trends

Nacional Porto

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

83%

Points per game

0,3

2,7

Over 2.5 Ø 59%

50%

67%

Both score Ø 42%

50%

33%

Average goals

2,7

3,2

Scored

0,8

2,5

Conceded

1,8

0,7

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,8

This season — Primeira Liga · 32/32 matches

Win Ø 50%

22%

78%

Points per game

0,9

2,5

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

56%

Both score Ø 41%

44%

38%

Average goals

3,1

2,7

Scored

1,0

2,1

Conceded

2,1

0,6

Goal diff per game

-1,0

+1,5

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

Unlock with Pro

Already have an account? Log in

Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

39% Possession 61%

11 Shots 17

3 Shots on target 6

4 Blocked shots 5

2 Goalkeeper saves 3

5 Corners 4

2 Offside 4

15 Free kicks against 18

1 Yellow cards 0

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Nacional 17. · Porto 2. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	32	26	3	3	+68	81
2	Porto	32	25	4	3	+49	79
3	Sp Lisbon	33	23	5	5	+40	74
4	Sp Braga	33	20	4	9	+17	64
5	Moreirense	33	16	4	13	-3	52
6	Guimaraes	33	14	7	12	+10	49
7	Santa Clara	33	11	9	13	+1	42
8	Rio Ave	32	11	9	12	-3	42
9	Boavista	33	12	5	16	-7	41
10	Belenenses	33	9	13	11	-12	40
11	Portimonense	33	11	6	16	-13	39
12	Maritimo	33	12	3	18	-17	39
13	Vitoria Setubal	33	8	12	13	-9	36
14	Aves	33	10	6	17	-13	36
15	Tondela	33	8	8	17	-17	32
16	Chaves	33	8	8	17	-20	32
17	Nacional	32	7	7	18	-33	28
18	Feirense	33	2	11	20	-38	17

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Sp Lisbon	17	14	2	1	+25	44
2	Porto	16	14	0	2	+31	42
3	Benfica	16	13	2	1	+43	41
4	Sp Braga	16	12	1	3	+15	37
5	Guimaraes	17	10	4	3	+15	34
6	Boavista	17	10	1	6	+7	31
7	Portimonense	17	8	4	5	+5	28
8	Moreirense	16	8	3	5	+1	27
9	Maritimo	16	8	2	6	+1	26
10	Rio Ave	16	5	6	5	-1	21
11	Tondela	16	6	3	7	-5	21
12	Santa Clara	17	5	5	7	-2	20
13	Belenenses	16	5	5	6	-4	20
14	Aves	17	5	3	9	-3	18
15	Chaves	17	4	6	7	-3	18
16	Vitoria Setubal	16	4	6	6	-3	18
17	Nacional	16	5	3	8	-6	18
18	Feirense	16	1	6	9	-13	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Benfica	16	13	1	2	+25	40
2	Porto	16	11	4	1	+18	37
3	Sp Lisbon	16	9	3	4	+15	30
4	Sp Braga	17	8	3	6	+2	27
5	Moreirense	17	8	1	8	-4	25
6	Santa Clara	16	6	4	6	+3	22
7	Rio Ave	16	6	3	7	-2	21
8	Belenenses	17	4	8	5	-8	20
9	Vitoria Setubal	17	4	6	7	-6	18
10	Aves	16	5	3	8	-10	18
11	Guimaraes	16	4	3	9	-5	15
12	Chaves	16	4	2	10	-17	14
13	Maritimo	17	4	1	12	-18	13
14	Tondela	17	2	5	10	-12	11
15	Portimonense	16	3	2	11	-18	11
16	Boavista	16	2	4	10	-14	10
17	Nacional	16	2	4	10	-27	10
18	Feirense	17	1	5	11	-25	8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.