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La Liga

Referee: Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez

Valencia

S S T T S

3–1

Full-time

Alaves

T U T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Valencia Alaves

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

50%

Points per game

1,5

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 67%

67%

Average goals

3,8

2,3

Scored

2,2

0,8

Conceded

1,7

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,7

This season — La Liga · 36/36 matches

Win Ø 35%

36%

33%

Points per game

1,5

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 40%

36%

44%

Both score Ø 52%

53%

50%

Average goals

2,2

2,3

Scored

1,3

1,0

Conceded

0,9

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,3

-0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–1

43% Possession 57%

10 Shots 10

4 Shots on target 3

1 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 4

3 Offside 0

9 Free kicks against 14

2 Yellow cards 5

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Valencia 6. · Alaves 10. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	36	25	8	3	+52	83
2	Ath Madrid	36	22	8	6	+26	74
3	Real Madrid	36	21	5	10	+21	68
4	Getafe	36	15	13	8	+15	58
5	Sevilla	36	16	7	13	+13	55
6	Valencia	36	13	16	7	+12	55
7	Ath Bilbao	36	12	14	10	-4	50
8	Sociedad	36	12	11	13	-1	47
9	Espanol	36	12	11	13	-6	47
10	Alaves	36	12	11	13	-10	47
11	Eibar	36	11	13	12	-3	46
12	Leganes	36	11	12	13	-3	45
13	Betis	36	12	8	16	-11	44
14	Villarreal	36	9	13	14	-4	40
15	Celta	36	10	10	16	-7	40
16	Levante	36	10	10	16	-8	40
17	Valladolid	36	9	11	16	-18	38
18	Girona	36	9	10	17	-14	37
19	Vallecano	36	8	7	21	-28	31
20	Huesca	36	6	12	18	-22	30

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Ath Madrid	18	15	2	1	+22	47
2	Barcelona	18	14	3	1	+32	45
3	Real Madrid	18	13	1	4	+19	40
4	Sevilla	18	11	3	4	+17	36
5	Getafe	18	11	2	5	+15	35
6	Espanol	18	10	3	5	+4	33
7	Eibar	18	9	5	4	+10	32
8	Ath Bilbao	18	8	8	2	+5	32
9	Leganes	18	7	8	3	+5	29
10	Valencia	18	6	10	2	+10	28
11	Celta	18	8	4	6	+6	28
12	Alaves	18	6	8	4	-1	26
13	Betis	18	7	5	6	-2	26
14	Sociedad	18	6	6	6	+1	24
15	Levante	18	6	6	6	+0	24
16	Vallecano	18	5	6	7	-6	21
17	Villarreal	18	4	8	6	+1	20
18	Valladolid	18	5	5	8	-8	20
19	Huesca	18	4	6	8	-7	18
20	Girona	18	3	6	9	-10	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Barcelona	18	11	5	2	+20	38
2	Real Madrid	18	8	4	6	+2	28
3	Ath Madrid	18	7	6	5	+4	27
4	Valencia	18	7	6	5	+2	27
5	Getafe	18	4	11	3	+0	23
6	Sociedad	18	6	5	7	-2	23
7	Girona	18	6	4	8	-4	22
8	Alaves	18	6	3	9	-9	21
9	Villarreal	18	5	5	8	-5	20
10	Sevilla	18	5	4	9	-4	19
11	Betis	18	5	3	10	-9	18
12	Ath Bilbao	18	4	6	8	-9	18
13	Valladolid	18	4	6	8	-10	18
14	Levante	18	4	4	10	-8	16
15	Leganes	18	4	4	10	-8	16
16	Espanol	18	2	8	8	-10	14
17	Eibar	18	2	8	8	-13	14
18	Celta	18	2	6	10	-13	12
19	Huesca	18	2	6	10	-15	12
20	Vallecano	18	3	1	14	-22	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.