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Pro League
Mechelen
S T U S S
2–1
Full-time
Lokeren
U U T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Lokeren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 42%
33%
50%
Average goals
2,7
2,5
Scored
1,7
1,2
Conceded
1,0
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,7
-0,2
This season — Pro League · 25/25 matches
Win Ø 32%
36%
28%
Points per game
1,3
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 58%
68%
48%
Both score Ø 64%
68%
60%
Average goals
3,3
2,4
Scored
1,6
1,1
Conceded
1,7
1,4
Goal diff per game
-0,1
-0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Mechelen 7. · Lokeren 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 22 18 1 3 +40 55
2 Gent 22 13 6 3 +22 45
3 Anderlecht 21 12 6 3 +15 42
4 Oostende 22 11 5 6 +9 38
5 Genk 20 11 3 6 +13 36
6 Standard 25 11 2 12 -12 35
7 Mechelen 25 9 6 10 -3 33
8 Waregem 21 9 5 7 +7 32
9 Westerlo 30 7 9 14 -24 30
10 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 30 7 8 15 -11 29
11 Lokeren 25 7 6 12 -7 27
12 Charleroi 21 7 5 9 -2 26
13 Kortrijk 23 6 8 9 -7 26
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 25 6 8 11 -9 26
15 St Truiden 25 8 2 15 -14 26
16 Beveren 25 7 4 14 -17 25

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Lokeren
1–0 M. Rits
L. Paulussen
4′
2–0 S. Hanni
12′
Half-time 2–0
46′
🔁 J. Rassoul
↦ M. Terki
46′
🔁 L. Enoh
↦ A. Patosi
63′
L. Enoh 2–1
L. Crepulja 🔁
↦ M. Rits
68′
72′
🔁 S. Ingason
↦ João Carlos
N. Ben Khalifa 🔁
↦ T. Matthys
80′
E. Cocalić 🔁
↦ G. Claes
92′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Mechelen

1 J. Gillet
4 S. De Witte
2 L. Paulussen
23 U. Vitas
16 A. Bjelica
12 S. De Petter
7 T. Matthys
94 S. Hanni
11 M. Rits
77 G. Claes
99 N. Verdier
Bench (7)
6 L. Crepulja
17 N. Ben Khalifa
15 E. Cocalić
9 D. Veselinović
14 Chen Xavier
30 J. Vanlerberghe
49 A. Moris

Lokeren

13 D. Verhulst
5 M. Marić
30 João Carlos
11 G. Galitsios
3 D. Odoi
7 K. Overmeire
21 M. Mirić
9 H. Harbaoui
14 M. Terki
10 A. Patosi
50 S. Bolbat
Bench (8)
20 J. Rassoul
29 L. Enoh
15 S. Ingason
1 B. Barry
17 C. Dessers
19 M. Tičinović
22 D. Melnjak
25 B. Ňinaj

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.