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Pro League
Oostende
S T T T U
4–2
Full-time
Anderlecht
S S S S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Oostende Anderlecht
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
17%
67%
Points per game
0,7
2,2
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,2
Scored
1,0
1,5
Conceded
2,5
0,7
Goal diff per game
-1,5
+0,8
This season — Pro League · 24/24 matches
Win Ø 52%
46%
58%
Points per game
1,6
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
67%
46%
Both score Ø 63%
67%
58%
Average goals
3,3
2,5
Scored
1,8
1,6
Conceded
1,5
0,9
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Oostende 5. · Anderlecht 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 25 19 1 5 +42 58
2 Gent 24 14 7 3 +24 49
3 Anderlecht 24 14 7 3 +17 49
4 Genk 22 13 3 6 +16 42
5 Oostende 24 11 6 7 +7 39
6 Standard 28 12 3 13 -11 39
7 Mechelen 28 10 6 12 -7 36
8 Charleroi 24 9 6 9 +3 33
9 Waregem 25 9 6 10 +0 33
10 Kortrijk 26 8 9 9 -1 33
11 Lokeren 28 8 7 13 -7 31
12 Royal Excel Mouscron 28 7 9 12 -10 30
13 Westerlo 30 7 9 14 -24 30
14 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 30 7 8 15 -11 29
15 St Truiden 28 8 4 16 -15 28
16 Beveren 28 7 5 16 -23 26

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Oostende Anderlecht
1–0 J. Akpala
F. Berrier
7′
1–1 B. Nuytinck
own goal
16′
Half-time 2–1
2–1 Y. El Ghanassy
F. Berrier
46′
46′
🔁 F. Đuričić
↦ O. Deschacht
46′
🔁 Idrissa Sylla
↦ L. Dendoncker
68′
🔁 Trézéguet
↦ Y. Tielemans
77′
S. Defour 2–2
F. Đuričić
M. Jonckheere 🔁
↦ A. Jali
79′
3–2 Y. El Ghanassy
Fernando Canesin
81′
B. Capon 🔁
↦ F. Berrier
86′
A. Milić 🔁
↦ Y. El Ghanassy
89′
90′
Idrissa Sylla 3–3
Trézéguet
Full-time 3–3

Line-ups

Oostende

1 D. Ovono
14 D. Rozehnal
5 J. Lukaku
31 B. Godeau
7 S. Siani
10 F. Berrier
15 A. Jali
26 K. Vandendriessche
55 Fernando Canesin
17 J. Akpala
8 Y. El Ghanassy
Bench (7)
20 M. Jonckheere
27 B. Capon
44 A. Milić
3 N. De Schutter
11 K. Musona
19 N. Pedersen
25 W. Biebauw

Anderlecht

1 S. Proto
3 O. Deschacht
14 B. Nuytinck
4 K. Mbodji
16 S. Defour
10 D. Praet
32 L. Dendoncker
8 S. Badji
31 Y. Tielemans
99 S. Okaka
18 F. Acheampong
Bench (7)
11 F. Đuričić
26 Idrissa Sylla
27 Trézéguet
17 I. Conté
24 M. Heylen
28 A. Büttner
33 D. Roef

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.