Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.
The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.
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Kortrijk
Waregem
Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.
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The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.
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| # | Team | K | V | U | T | +/− | P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Club Brugge
|
18 | 14 | 1 | 3 | +33 | 43 |
| 2 |
Gent
|
19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | +24 | 43 |
| 3 |
Anderlecht
|
18 | 10 | 6 | 2 | +12 | 36 |
| 4 |
Oostende
|
19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | +13 | 35 |
| 5 |
Genk
|
17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | +11 | 33 |
| 6 |
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
|
29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | -10 | 29 |
| 7 |
Standard
|
22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | -10 | 29 |
| 8 |
Waregem
|
18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | +5 | 28 |
| 9 |
Westerlo
|
28 | 6 | 9 | 13 | -24 | 27 |
| 10 |
Mechelen
|
22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | -8 | 26 |
| 11 |
St Truiden
|
23 | 8 | 2 | 13 | -10 | 26 |
| 12 |
Charleroi
|
18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | +0 | 25 |
| 13 |
Beveren
|
22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | -15 | 24 |
| 14 |
Kortrijk
|
20 | 5 | 7 | 8 | -5 | 22 |
| 15 |
Royal Excel Mouscron
|
22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | -7 | 22 |
| 16 |
Lokeren
|
23 | 5 | 6 | 12 | -9 | 21 |
Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.
B. Verstraete
A. Marušić
M. Thiam
Green columns are the outcomes that came in.
Mechelen
Kortrijk
Kortrijk
St Truiden
Kortrijk
Westerlo
Genk
Kortrijk
Kortrijk
Oostende
The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.