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Pro League
Genk
S T T S U
3–0
Full-time
St Truiden
S T T S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Genk St Truiden
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,0
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 33%
33%
33%
Average goals
2,5
2,3
Scored
1,2
0,7
Conceded
1,3
1,7
Goal diff per game
-0,2
-1,0
This season — Pro League · 11/16 matches
Win Ø 50%
55%
44%
Points per game
1,7
1,4
Over 2.5 Ø 57%
64%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
55%
44%
Average goals
2,8
2,4
Scored
1,5
1,1
Conceded
1,4
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,1
-0,1
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Genk 8. · St Truiden 5.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 13 9 1 3 +19 28
2 Gent 12 8 3 1 +15 27
3 Oostende 13 8 3 2 +13 27
4 Anderlecht 11 7 3 1 +10 24
5 St Truiden 16 7 1 8 -2 22
6 Waregem 13 6 3 4 +5 21
7 Charleroi 12 5 4 3 +4 19
8 Genk 11 6 1 4 +1 19
9 Standard 14 6 1 7 -8 19
10 Mechelen 15 5 3 7 -6 18
11 Royal Excel Mouscron 14 4 4 6 -2 16
12 Beveren 14 5 1 8 -9 16
13 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 19 4 3 12 -12 15
14 Lokeren 14 4 2 8 -4 14
15 Westerlo 19 2 7 10 -21 13
16 Kortrijk 12 2 6 4 -3 12

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Recent head-to-head meetings

21. Aug -15 St Truiden – Genk 3–1

Match report

Genk St Truiden
1–0 L. Bailey
N. Kebano
37′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 N. Kebano
70′
74′
🔁 M. Lazaar
↦ G. Hendrickx
S. Schrijvers 🔁
↦ L. Bailey
81′
83′
🔁 P. Kynigopoulos
↦ C. Cuevas
3–0 S. Dewaest
Pozuelo
84′
B. Kumordzi 🔁
↦ Y. Buyens
88′
E. Ünal 🔁
↦ Pozuelo
90′
Full-time 3–0

Line-ups

Genk

1 M. Bizot
3 K. Tshimanga
27 C. Kabasele
6 S. Dewaest
5 S. Walsh
25 O. Ndidi
71 Y. Buyens
24 Pozuelo
92 N. Kebano
19 T. Buffel
31 L. Bailey
Bench (7)
18 S. Schrijvers
8 B. Kumordzi
9 E. Ünal
11 I. de Camargo
15 D. Wouters
26 L. Köteles
28 B. Heynen

St Truiden

1 Y. De Winter
26 Ruben Fernandes
18 M. Bagayoko
19 Y. Erichot
8 F. Rherras
4 M. Mahlangu
15 C. Cuevas
16 R. Schoofs
6 G. Hendrickx
22 Edmilson Junior
9 M. Tchité
Bench (7)
7 M. Lazaar
29 P. Kynigopoulos
5 Alfonso Artabe
13 E. Velić
14 N. Gerits
21 M. Schils
24 S. Nirisarike

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.