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Pro League

Referee: Alexandre Boucaut

Anderlecht

S S U S S

0–1

Full-time

Charleroi

U U U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Charleroi

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

67%

17%

Points per game

2,2

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 25%

50%

Both score Ø 42%

33%

50%

Average goals

2,3

1,5

Scored

1,7

0,8

Conceded

0,7

Goal diff per game

+1,0

+0,2

This season — Pro League · 24/24 matches

Win Ø 55%

67%

42%

Points per game

2,2

1,7

Over 2.5 Ø 44%

54%

33%

Both score Ø 46%

42%

50%

Average goals

2,8

2,0

Scored

2,1

1,1

Conceded

0,7

0,8

Goal diff per game

+1,4

+0,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–1

60% Possession 40%

15 Shots 6

5 Shots on target 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 5

13 Corners 4

8 Offside 1

10 Free kicks against 12

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Anderlecht 1. · Charleroi 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Anderlecht	24	16	5	3	+34	53
2	Gent	25	14	6	5	+17	48
3	Waregem	25	14	6	5	+16	48
4	Mechelen	30	14	6	10	+5	48
5	Genk	30	14	6	10	+5	48
6	Club Brugge	25	14	5	6	+25	47
7	Oostende	25	12	7	6	+17	43
8	Standard	30	10	12	8	+9	42
9	Charleroi	24	10	10	4	+7	40
10	Lokeren	30	7	10	13	-10	31
11	Kortrijk	30	8	7	15	-17	31
12	St Truiden	30	8	6	16	-13	30
13	Beveren	30	7	9	14	-15	30
14	Eupen	30	8	6	16	-24	30
15	Royal Excel Mouscron	30	7	3	20	-24	24
16	Westerlo	30	5	8	17	-32	23

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Genk	15	10	3	2	+11	33
2	Gent	12	10	1	1	+18	31
3	Mechelen	15	10	1	4	+11	31
4	Anderlecht	12	9	2	1	+26	29
5	Club Brugge	12	8	4	0	+19	28
6	Charleroi	13	8	3	2	+7	27
7	Standard	15	7	5	3	+11	26
8	Waregem	13	7	4	2	+9	25
9	St Truiden	15	7	4	4	+5	25
10	Oostende	12	6	4	2	+14	22
11	Lokeren	15	5	6	4	+1	21
12	Beveren	15	4	6	5	+0	18
13	Kortrijk	15	5	3	7	-2	18
14	Eupen	15	4	5	6	-8	17
15	Royal Excel Mouscron	15	4	2	9	-11	14
16	Westerlo	15	3	3	9	-13	12

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Anderlecht	12	7	3	2	+8	24
2	Waregem	12	7	2	3	+7	23
3	Oostende	13	6	3	4	+3	21
4	Club Brugge	13	6	1	6	+6	19
5	Gent	13	4	5	4	-1	17
6	Mechelen	15	4	5	6	-6	17
7	Standard	15	3	7	5	-2	16
8	Genk	15	4	3	8	-6	15
9	Charleroi	11	2	7	2	+0	13
10	Kortrijk	15	3	4	8	-15	13
11	Eupen	15	4	1	10	-16	13
12	Beveren	15	3	3	9	-15	12
13	Westerlo	15	2	5	8	-19	11
14	Lokeren	15	2	4	9	-11	10
15	Royal Excel Mouscron	15	3	1	11	-13	10
16	St Truiden	15	1	2	12	-18	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.