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Pro League
Anderlecht
S T S U S
2–1
Full-time
Charleroi
S T S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Anderlecht Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
50%
50%
Points per game
1,8
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
33%
67%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
2,5
2,7
Scored
1,5
1,5
Conceded
1,0
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 13/14 matches
Win Ø 53%
62%
43%
Points per game
2,2
1,6
Over 2.5 Ø 41%
31%
50%
Both score Ø 56%
54%
57%
Average goals
2,4
2,3
Scored
1,6
1,3
Conceded
0,8
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Anderlecht 4. · Charleroi 9.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 15 11 1 3 +25 34
2 Oostende 16 9 4 3 +15 31
3 Gent 14 9 3 2 +16 30
4 Anderlecht 13 8 4 1 +11 28
5 Genk 13 7 2 4 +4 23
6 St Truiden 19 7 2 10 -6 23
7 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 23 6 5 12 -9 23
8 Waregem 14 6 4 4 +5 22
9 Charleroi 14 6 4 4 +4 22
10 Mechelen 19 6 4 9 -7 22
11 Standard 16 7 1 8 -9 22
12 Westerlo 23 5 7 11 -19 22
13 Lokeren 18 5 4 9 -5 19
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 17 4 5 8 -6 17
15 Beveren 16 5 2 9 -10 17
16 Kortrijk 16 3 6 7 -9 15

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Anderlecht Charleroi
2′
J. Perbet 0–1
D. Marcq
0–2 A. Baby
own goal
3′
Half-time 1–2
1–2 S. Okaka
Idrissa Sylla
54′
60′
🔁 S. Ninis
↦ D. NDongala
M. Suárez 🔁
↦ S. Defour
75′
76′
🔁 F. Stevance
↦ A. Baby
Trézéguet 🔁
↦ D. Lukebakio
80′
84′
🔁 C. Benavente
↦ E. Sağlık
M. Heylen 🔁
↦ S. Okaka
89′
Full-time 1–2

Line-ups

Anderlecht

1 S. Proto
3 O. Deschacht
4 K. Mbodji
16 S. Defour
26 Idrissa Sylla
7 A. Najar
10 D. Praet
31 Y. Tielemans
46 D. Lukebakio
99 S. Okaka
18 F. Acheampong
Bench (6)
9 M. Suárez
27 Trézéguet
24 M. Heylen
14 B. Nuytinck
33 D. Roef
44 H. Matthys

Charleroi

1 N. Penneteau
41 F. N'Ganga
8 Javi Martos
24 D. Dessoleil
25 D. Marcq
18 A. Baby
28 E. Sağlık
88 D. N'Dongala
19 Clinton Mata
21 J. Perbet
10 D. Pollet
Bench (7)
29 S. Ninis
9 F. Stevance
14 C. Benavente
3 S. Willems
6 G. Zajkov
35 P. Mandanda
45 R. Ferber

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.