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La Liga
Referee: Jose Luis Gonzalez Gonzalez
Ath Bilbao
S S T S S
2–1
Full-time
Betis
T T T S S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Betis
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 59%
67%
50%
Points per game
2,0
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 50%
67%
33%
Average goals
3,2
2,3
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
+0,8
+0,0
This season — La Liga · 33/33 matches
Win Ø 41%
52%
30%
Points per game
1,7
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
58%
42%
Both score Ø 53%
58%
48%
Average goals
2,5
2,6
Scored
1,4
1,1
Conceded
1,1
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

52% Possession 48%
17 Shots 9
9 Shots on target 3
4 Blocked shots 2
2 Goalkeeper saves 7
11 Corners 1
2 Offside 4
10 Free kicks against 17
1 Yellow cards 3
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Ath Bilbao 7. · Betis 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Barcelona 34 24 6 4 +68 78
2 Real Madrid 33 24 6 3 +52 78
3 Ath Madrid 34 20 8 6 +35 68
4 Sevilla 34 20 8 6 +20 68
5 Villarreal 34 17 9 8 +22 60
6 Sociedad 34 18 4 12 +5 58
7 Ath Bilbao 33 17 5 11 +9 56
8 Eibar 34 14 9 11 +7 51
9 Espanol 34 13 11 10 +1 50
10 Alaves 34 11 12 11 -8 45
11 Celta 33 13 5 15 -5 44
12 Valencia 34 11 7 16 -10 40
13 Las Palmas 34 10 9 15 -9 39
14 Malaga 34 10 9 15 -9 39
15 Betis 33 10 7 16 -15 37
16 La Coruna 34 7 10 17 -20 31
17 Leganes 34 7 9 18 -21 30
18 Sp Gijon 34 5 9 20 -30 24
19 Granada 34 4 8 22 -45 20
20 Osasuna 34 3 9 22 -47 18

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Ath Bilbao Betis
Markel Susaeta 🟨
8′
13′
🟨 Darko Brašanac
Half-time 1–0
1–0 Aduriz
53′
58′
🟨 Aïssa Mandi
58′
🔁 Joaquín
↦ D. Brašanac
2–0 Muniain
Raúl García
60′
63′
Rubén Castro 2–1
68′
🔁 Rubén Pardo
↦ Petros
68′
🔁 Álex Alegría
↦ José Carlos
72′
🟨 Antonio Adán
Iturraspe 🔁
↦ Raúl García
74′
Iñaki Williams 🔁
↦ Susaeta
78′
Mikel Rico 🔁
↦ Beñat
88′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Ath Bilbao

4-2-3-1
26 Kepa G
6 San José M
24 Balenziaga D
4 A. Laporte D
27 Yeray Álvarez D
22 Raúl García M
14 Susaeta M
7 Beñat M
18 De Marcos D
20 Aduriz F
10 Muniain F
Bench (7)
8 Iturraspe
11 Iñaki Williams
17 Mikel Rico
1 Iraizoz
15 Lekue
16 Etxeita
19 Sabin

Coach: Ernesto Valverde

Betis

5-3-2
13 Adán G
23 A. Mandi D
3 Álex Martínez D
20 G. Pezzella D
28 José Carlos D
16 Cejudo M
5 Petros M
22 D. Brašanac M
8 J. Martin M
10 Dani Ceballos M
24 Rubén Castro F
Bench (7)
17 Joaquín
7 Rubén Pardo
19 Álex Alegría
1 Dani Giménez
2 Rafa Navarro
4 Bruno González
14 R. Durmisi

Coach: Víctor Sánchez

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jose Luis Gonzalez Gonzalez · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,5 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
20,5 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,20 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.