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Pro League
Referee: Frederik Geldhof
Charleroi
U U U U T
2–0
Full-time
Waregem
U S T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Waregem
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
17%
33%
Points per game
1,2
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 42%
0%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
50%
100%
Average goals
1,3
3,7
Scored
0,7
2,2
Conceded
0,7
1,5
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,7
This season — Pro League · 23/23 matches
Win Ø 50%
39%
61%
Points per game
1,6
2,1
Over 2.5 Ø 44%
35%
52%
Both score Ø 57%
52%
61%
Average goals
2,0
2,9
Scored
1,1
1,9
Conceded
0,9
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,9
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

5 Corners 7
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Charleroi 9. · Waregem 2.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Anderlecht 23 15 5 3 +32 50
2 Waregem 23 14 6 3 +20 48
3 Mechelen 30 14 6 10 +5 48
4 Genk 30 14 6 10 +5 48
5 Gent 24 13 6 5 +15 45
6 Club Brugge 23 13 5 5 +25 44
7 Oostende 24 12 7 5 +19 43
8 Standard 30 10 12 8 +9 42
9 Charleroi 23 9 10 4 +5 37
10 Lokeren 30 7 10 13 -10 31
11 Kortrijk 30 8 7 15 -17 31
12 St Truiden 30 8 6 16 -13 30
13 Beveren 30 7 9 14 -15 30
14 Eupen 30 8 6 16 -24 30
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 30 7 3 20 -24 24
16 Westerlo 30 5 8 17 -32 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Waregem
16′
🔁 K. Madu
↦ B. Hamalainen
34′
🟨 Lukas Lerager
Half-time 0–0
Amara Baby 🟨
56′
D. Pollet 🔁
↦ M. Fall
68′
77′
🔁 L. Marrone
↦ O. Kaya
77′
🔁 B. Gueye
↦ S. Coopman
E. Sağlık 🔁
↦ C. Diandy
80′
C. Bedia 🔁
↦ H. Harbaoui
84′
1–0 A. Baby
90′
2–0 D. Pollet
94′
Full-time 2–0

Line-ups

Charleroi

1 N. Penneteau G
41 F. N'Ganga D
8 Javi Martos D
23 S. Willems D
25 D. Marcq M
7 C. Tainmont M
18 A. Baby M
13 C. Diandy M
19 Clinton Mata M
77 M. Fall -
9 H. Harbaoui F
Bench (7)
10 D. Pollet
28 E. Sağlık
99 C. Bedia
14 C. Benavente
17 S. Marinos
24 D. Dessoleil
35 P. Mandanda

Coach: F. Mazzù

Waregem

22 K. Steppe G
6 T. Derijck M
31 B. Hamalainen D
14 H. Dalsgaard D
3 M. Baudry D
10 O. Kaya M
23 C. Lepoint M
17 S. Meïté M
8 L. Lerager M
43 S. Coopman M
9 M. Leye F
Bench (7)
15 K. Madu
4 L. Marrone
19 B. Gueye
2 D. De fauw
7 A. Bala
25 L. Bostyn
29 A. Cordaro

Coach: F. Dury

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Frederik Geldhof · 27 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
16,6 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,16 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.