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Pro League
Referee: Eric Lambrechts
Charleroi
U U S U T
2–1
Full-time
Lokeren
T T T U U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Lokeren
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 25%
33%
17%
Points per game
1,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 59%
67%
50%
Average goals
2,5
2,2
Scored
1,3
0,8
Conceded
1,2
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,2
-0,5
This season — Pro League · 9/14 matches
Win Ø 33%
44%
21%
Points per game
1,8
0,9
Over 2.5 Ø 47%
44%
50%
Both score Ø 40%
44%
36%
Average goals
1,9
2,1
Scored
1,1
0,8
Conceded
0,8
1,4
Goal diff per game
+0,3
-0,6
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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The table before the match Charleroi 10. · Lokeren 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Waregem 10 9 0 1 +16 27
2 Kortrijk 15 6 6 3 +4 24
3 Genk 15 7 3 5 +1 24
4 Gent 10 7 1 2 +9 22
5 Standard 15 6 4 5 +8 22
6 Mechelen 15 6 4 5 +3 22
7 Club Brugge 10 6 2 2 +10 20
8 Oostende 10 6 2 2 +9 20
9 Anderlecht 10 6 2 2 +9 20
10 Charleroi 9 4 4 1 +3 16
11 Eupen 15 4 3 8 -12 15
12 Beveren 15 3 5 7 -11 14
13 Lokeren 14 3 3 8 -8 12
14 Royal Excel Mouscron 15 3 2 10 -11 11
15 St Truiden 15 2 4 9 -9 10
16 Westerlo 15 2 3 10 -21 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Lokeren
20′
M. Mirić 0–1
A. Skúlason
1–1 M. Fall
C. Tainmont
23′
25′
🟨 Koen Persoons
29′
🟨 Killian Overmeire
2–1 D. Pollet
C. Tainmont
39′
Half-time 2–1
Francis N'Ganga 🟨
49′
62′
🔁 T. De Sutter
↦ M. Mirić
68′
🔁 B. Straetman
↦ K. Persoons
C. Benavente 🔁
↦ S. Ninis
69′
A. Baby 🔁
↦ C. Tainmont
73′
David Pollet 🟨
84′
C. Bedia 🔁
↦ D. Pollet
89′
91′
🔁 E. Ansah
↦ M. Terki
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Charleroi

4-2-3-1
1 N. Penneteau G
41 F. N'Ganga D
8 Javi Martos D
23 S. Willems D
29 S. Ninis M
25 D. Marcq M
7 C. Tainmont M
13 C. Diandy M
19 Clinton Mata M
77 M. Fall -
10 D. Pollet F
Bench (7)
14 C. Benavente
18 A. Baby
99 C. Bedia
15 V. Baume
17 S. Marinos
22 G. Hendrickx
24 D. Dessoleil

Coach: F. Mazzù

Lokeren

4-3-3
1 B. Barry G
6 A. Skúlason D
5 M. Marić D
11 G. Galitsios D
15 S. Ingason D
8 K. Persoons M
7 K. Overmeire M
22 S. De Ridder F
21 M. Mirić F
17 G. Hupperts F
14 M. Terki F
Bench (7)
9 T. De Sutter
35 B. Straetman
3 E. Ansah
13 D. Verhulst
19 M. Tičinović
50 S. Bolbat
27 A. Monsecour

Coach: R. Kristinsson

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Eric Lambrechts · 74 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,9 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,4 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.