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La Liga

Referee: Jose Maria Sanchez Martinez

Ath Bilbao

T S T U U

1–0

Full-time

Villarreal

U S S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Ath Bilbao Villarreal

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 50%

33%

67%

Points per game

1,3

2,2

Over 2.5 Ø 67%

67%

Both score Ø 67%

83%

50%

Average goals

2,8

Scored

1,5

2,2

Conceded

1,3

0,7

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,5

This season — La Liga · 11/11 matches

Win Ø 50%

45%

55%

Points per game

1,5

2,0

Over 2.5 Ø 55%

64%

45%

Both score Ø 64%

73%

55%

Average goals

2,5

2,4

Scored

1,4

1,7

Conceded

1,2

0,6

Goal diff per game

+0,2

+1,1

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

50% Possession 50%

12 Shots 6

5 Shots on target 2

2 Blocked shots 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 5

4 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 17

0 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Ath Bilbao 8. · Villarreal 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	12	9	3	0	+24	30
2	Barcelona	12	8	2	2	+19	26
3	Sevilla	12	7	3	2	+5	24
4	Villarreal	11	6	4	1	+12	22
5	Sociedad	12	7	1	4	+8	22
6	Ath Madrid	12	6	3	3	+14	21
7	Eibar	12	5	3	4	+2	18
8	Ath Bilbao	11	5	2	4	+2	17
9	Celta	12	5	2	5	-4	17
10	Las Palmas	12	4	4	4	+1	16
11	Malaga	12	4	4	4	+1	16
12	Espanol	12	3	6	3	-3	15
13	Betis	12	4	2	6	-9	14
14	Alaves	12	3	4	5	-5	13
15	Valencia	12	3	2	7	-6	11
16	La Coruna	12	2	4	6	-9	10
17	Leganes	11	3	1	7	-13	10
18	Sp Gijon	12	2	3	7	-14	9
19	Osasuna	11	1	4	6	-9	7
20	Granada	12	0	5	7	-16	5

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Villarreal	6	5	1	0	+11	16
2	Sevilla	6	5	0	1	+5	15
3	Real Madrid	6	4	2	0	+8	14
4	Ath Madrid	6	4	1	1	+11	13
5	Sociedad	6	4	1	1	+6	13
6	Malaga	6	4	1	1	+5	13
7	Eibar	6	4	1	1	+4	13
8	Las Palmas	6	3	3	0	+6	12
9	Celta	6	4	0	2	+1	12
10	Barcelona	6	3	2	1	+8	11
11	Ath Bilbao	5	3	1	1	+3	10
12	Betis	6	2	2	2	-3	8
13	La Coruna	6	2	1	3	-1	7
14	Sp Gijon	6	2	1	3	-6	7
15	Alaves	6	1	3	2	-2	6
16	Espanol	6	0	4	2	-4	4
17	Valencia	6	1	1	4	-5	4
18	Granada	6	0	3	3	-3	3
19	Osasuna	6	0	2	4	-5	2
20	Leganes	5	0	1	4	-8	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Real Madrid	6	5	1	0	+16	16
2	Barcelona	6	5	0	1	+11	15
3	Espanol	6	3	2	1	+1	11
4	Sociedad	6	3	0	3	+2	9
5	Sevilla	6	2	3	1	+0	9
6	Leganes	6	3	0	3	-5	9
7	Ath Madrid	6	2	2	2	+3	8
8	Valencia	6	2	1	3	-1	7
9	Ath Bilbao	6	2	1	3	-1	7
10	Alaves	6	2	1	3	-3	7
11	Villarreal	5	1	3	1	+1	6
12	Betis	6	2	0	4	-6	6
13	Eibar	6	1	2	3	-2	5
14	Osasuna	5	1	2	2	-4	5
15	Celta	6	1	2	3	-5	5
16	Las Palmas	6	1	1	4	-5	4
17	Malaga	6	0	3	3	-4	3
18	La Coruna	6	0	3	3	-8	3
19	Sp Gijon	6	0	2	4	-8	2
20	Granada	6	0	2	4	-13	2

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.