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Pro League

Referee: Wim Smet

Charleroi

S U S U U

2–1

Full-time

Genk

T T S U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Genk

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 42%

50%

33%

Points per game

2,0

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 34%

17%

50%

Both score Ø 34%

17%

50%

Average goals

1,2

2,8

Scored

0,8

1,0

Conceded

0,3

1,8

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,8

This season — Pro League · 6/11 matches

Win Ø 48%

50%

45%

Points per game

2,0

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 36%

17%

55%

Both score Ø 31%

17%

45%

Average goals

1,2

2,6

Scored

0,8

1,3

Conceded

0,3

1,4

Goal diff per game

+0,5

-0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

50% Possession 50%

9 Shots 7

6 Shots on target 4

3 Goalkeeper saves 4

6 Corners 5

1 Offside 2

18 Free kicks against 17

2 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Charleroi 10. · Genk 4. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	8	7	0	1	+13	21
2	Standard	11	5	4	2	+11	19
3	Anderlecht	8	5	2	1	+8	17
4	Genk	11	5	2	4	-1	17
5	Kortrijk	11	4	4	3	+2	16
6	Mechelen	11	4	3	4	+2	15
7	Oostende	8	4	2	2	+2	14
8	Gent	6	4	1	1	+6	13
9	Club Brugge	7	4	1	2	+5	13
10	Charleroi	6	3	3	0	+3	12
11	Royal Excel Mouscron	11	3	1	7	-7	10
12	Lokeren	12	3	1	8	-8	10
13	Eupen	11	3	1	7	-12	10
14	St Truiden	11	2	3	6	-4	9
15	Westerlo	11	2	3	6	-10	9
16	Beveren	11	2	3	6	-10	9

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Standard	6	4	1	1	+11	13
2	Genk	6	4	1	1	+2	13
3	Gent	4	4	0	0	+7	12
4	Waregem	4	4	0	0	+7	12
5	Kortrijk	5	3	2	0	+7	11
6	Lokeren	6	3	0	3	+0	9
7	St Truiden	5	2	2	1	+3	8
8	Oostende	4	2	2	0	+2	8
9	Beveren	5	2	2	1	+1	8
10	Club Brugge	3	2	1	0	+2	7
11	Charleroi	3	2	1	0	+2	7
12	Mechelen	6	2	1	3	+0	7
13	Eupen	5	2	1	2	-3	7
14	Anderlecht	3	2	0	1	+4	6
15	Westerlo	6	1	2	3	-3	5
16	Royal Excel Mouscron	6	1	1	4	-8	4

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Anderlecht	5	3	2	0	+4	11
2	Waregem	4	3	0	1	+6	9
3	Mechelen	5	2	2	1	+2	8
4	Club Brugge	4	2	0	2	+3	6
5	Royal Excel Mouscron	5	2	0	3	+1	6
6	Standard	5	1	3	1	+0	6
7	Oostende	4	2	0	2	+0	6
8	Charleroi	3	1	2	0	+1	5
9	Kortrijk	6	1	2	3	-5	5
10	Genk	5	1	1	3	-3	4
11	Westerlo	5	1	1	3	-7	4
12	Eupen	6	1	0	5	-9	3
13	Gent	2	0	1	1	-1	1
14	St Truiden	6	0	1	5	-7	1
15	Lokeren	6	0	1	5	-8	1
16	Beveren	6	0	1	5	-11	1

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.