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Pro League
Referee: Jonathan Lardot
Kortrijk
T U U U S
2–1
Full-time
Charleroi
S U U S U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kortrijk Charleroi
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 33%
33%
33%
Points per game
1,5
1,7
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 67%
83%
50%
Average goals
3,5
2,0
Scored
2,0
1,2
Conceded
1,5
0,8
Goal diff per game
+0,5
+0,3
This season — Pro League · 13/8 matches
Win Ø 44%
38%
50%
Points per game
1,5
2,0
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
69%
38%
Both score Ø 62%
85%
38%
Average goals
3,3
1,8
Scored
1,8
1,1
Conceded
1,5
0,6
Goal diff per game
+0,2
+0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%
10 Shots 8
5 Shots on target 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
3 Corners 3
4 Offside 1
4 Free kicks against 12
1 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kortrijk 3. · Charleroi 10.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Waregem 9 8 0 1 +15 24
2 Anderlecht 10 6 2 2 +9 20
3 Kortrijk 13 5 5 3 +3 20
4 Genk 13 6 2 5 -1 20
5 Standard 13 5 4 4 +8 19
6 Mechelen 13 5 3 5 +2 18
7 Oostende 9 5 2 2 +4 17
8 Club Brugge 8 5 1 2 +9 16
9 Gent 8 5 1 2 +5 16
10 Charleroi 8 4 4 0 +4 16
11 Beveren 13 3 4 6 -9 13
12 Eupen 13 3 3 7 -12 12
13 Royal Excel Mouscron 13 3 2 8 -8 11
14 Lokeren 13 3 2 8 -8 11
15 St Truiden 13 2 4 7 -6 10
16 Westerlo 13 2 3 8 -15 9

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kortrijk Charleroi
17′
🟨 Steeven Willems
Half-time 0–0
46′
🔁 D. Pollet
↦ C. Bedia
1–0 I. Saadi
X. Mercier
61′
67′
🔁 M. Fall
↦ S. Ninis
S. Sarr 🔁
↦ X. Mercier
72′
81′
🔁 C. Benavente
↦ Javi Martos
2–0 I. Ouali
R. Métanire
82′
S. De Smet 🔁
↦ B. Verstraete
86′
Idir Ouali 🟨
87′
A. Papazoglou 🔁
↦ I. Saadi
91′
94′
D. Pollet 2–1
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Kortrijk

4-2-3-1
28 T. Kaminski G
23 Joãozinho D
15 R. Métanire D
6 D. Goutas D
20 S. Gigot D
10 H. Kage F
25 X. Mercier M
26 E. Rolland M
5 B. Verstraete M
27 I. Ouali M
11 I. Saadi F
Bench (7)
88 S. Sarr
7 S. De Smet
9 A. Papazoglou
8 N. Pavlović
13 M. Sifakis
17 G. De Mets
31 A. Van Loo

Coach: B. Van Lancker

Charleroi

4-2-3-1
1 N. Penneteau G
41 F. N'Ganga D
8 Javi Martos D
23 S. Willems D
29 S. Ninis M
25 D. Marcq M
7 C. Tainmont M
18 A. Baby M
13 C. Diandy M
19 Clinton Mata M
99 C. Bedia F
Bench (7)
10 D. Pollet
77 M. Fall
14 C. Benavente
4 E. Poulain
22 G. Hendrickx
24 D. Dessoleil
35 P. Mandanda

Coach: F. Mazzù

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jonathan Lardot · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.