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Pro League

Referee: Boterberg

Waregem

U U S U S

1–0

Full-time

Royal Excel Mouscron

T T U T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Waregem Royal Excel Mouscron

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 25%

33%

17%

Points per game

1,5

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

33%

50%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

2,5

2,3

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

1,3

1,7

Goal diff per game

-0,2

-1,0

This season — Pro League · 16/22 matches

Win Ø 44%

69%

18%

Points per game

2,3

0,7

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

44%

64%

Both score Ø 53%

50%

55%

Average goals

2,7

2,9

Scored

1,8

0,9

Conceded

0,9

2,0

Goal diff per game

+0,9

-1,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

57% Possession 43%

8 Shots 3

2 Shots on target 2

2 Goalkeeper saves 1

7 Corners 5

2 Offside 4

10 Free kicks against 17

0 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Waregem 1. · Royal Excel Mouscron 16. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	16	11	3	2	+15	36
2	Club Brugge	15	11	2	2	+26	35
3	Mechelen	22	10	5	7	+4	35
4	Standard	22	9	7	6	+12	34
5	Anderlecht	14	10	2	2	+24	32
6	Genk	21	9	4	8	-4	31
7	Oostende	14	9	2	3	+16	29
8	Gent	14	8	2	4	+8	26
9	Charleroi	15	7	5	3	+4	26
10	Lokeren	22	6	6	10	-6	24
11	Kortrijk	22	6	6	10	-12	24
12	St Truiden	22	5	5	12	-10	20
13	Eupen	22	5	5	12	-19	20
14	Beveren	21	4	7	10	-13	19
15	Westerlo	22	4	6	12	-21	18
16	Royal Excel Mouscron	22	4	3	15	-24	15

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Standard	11	7	2	2	+14	23
2	Genk	11	7	2	2	+6	23
3	Mechelen	12	7	1	4	+6	22
4	Gent	7	7	0	0	+13	21
5	Club Brugge	8	6	2	0	+16	20
6	Anderlecht	7	6	0	1	+19	18
7	Oostende	8	5	2	1	+13	17
8	Waregem	7	5	2	0	+8	17
9	Charleroi	7	5	1	1	+4	16
10	St Truiden	11	4	4	3	+3	16
11	Beveren	11	4	4	3	+2	16
12	Kortrijk	11	4	3	4	+2	15
13	Lokeren	10	4	3	3	+1	15
14	Eupen	11	3	4	4	-5	13
15	Westerlo	10	2	3	5	-3	9
16	Royal Excel Mouscron	11	2	2	7	-13	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Waregem	9	6	1	2	+7	19
2	Club Brugge	7	5	0	2	+10	15
3	Anderlecht	7	4	2	1	+5	14
4	Mechelen	10	3	4	3	-2	13
5	Oostende	6	4	0	2	+3	12
6	Standard	11	2	5	4	-2	11
7	Charleroi	8	2	4	2	+0	10
8	Lokeren	12	2	3	7	-7	9
9	Kortrijk	11	2	3	6	-14	9
10	Westerlo	12	2	3	7	-18	9
11	Genk	10	2	2	6	-10	8
12	Royal Excel Mouscron	11	2	1	8	-11	7
13	Eupen	11	2	1	8	-14	7
14	Gent	7	1	2	4	-5	5
15	St Truiden	11	1	1	9	-13	4
16	Beveren	10	0	3	7	-15	3

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.