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Pro League

Referee: Frederik Geldhof

Royal Excel Mouscron

T T T S T

1–5

Full-time

Waregem

T S S S T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Royal Excel Mouscron Waregem

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 34%

17%

50%

Points per game

0,5

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

83%

17%

Both score Ø 42%

83%

Average goals

3,0

1,8

Scored

1,2

1,0

Conceded

1,8

0,8

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,2

This season — Pro League · 5/4 matches

Win Ø 48%

20%

75%

Points per game

0,6

2,3

Over 2.5 Ø 53%

80%

25%

Both score Ø 40%

80%

Average goals

2,6

1,8

Scored

1,0

1,5

Conceded

1,6

0,3

Goal diff per game

-0,6

+1,3

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–2

5 Corners 1

3 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Royal Excel Mouscron 15. · Waregem 5. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mechelen	6	3	2	1	+3	11
2	Kortrijk	6	3	2	1	+1	11
3	Genk	5	3	1	1	+4	10
4	Charleroi	4	3	1	0	+3	10
5	Waregem	4	3	0	1	+5	9
6	Anderlecht	4	2	2	0	+5	8
7	Gent	3	2	1	0	+3	7
8	Club Brugge	5	2	1	2	+1	7
9	Eupen	6	2	1	3	-4	7
10	Standard	5	1	3	1	+1	6
11	Oostende	4	2	0	2	+0	6
12	Lokeren	5	2	0	3	-1	6
13	Beveren	6	1	2	3	-3	5
14	St Truiden	6	1	1	4	-5	4
15	Royal Excel Mouscron	5	1	0	4	-3	3
16	Westerlo	6	0	1	5	-10	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Kortrijk	3	2	1	0	+4	7
2	Genk	3	2	1	0	+2	7
3	Waregem	2	2	0	0	+4	6
4	Gent	2	2	0	0	+3	6
5	Oostende	2	2	0	0	+2	6
6	Charleroi	2	2	0	0	+2	6
7	Lokeren	3	2	0	1	+1	6
8	Standard	2	1	1	0	+2	4
9	Club Brugge	2	1	1	0	+1	4
10	St Truiden	3	1	1	1	+0	4
11	Mechelen	3	1	1	1	+0	4
12	Eupen	3	1	1	1	-1	4
13	Beveren	3	1	1	1	-1	4
14	Anderlecht	1	1	0	0	+4	3
15	Royal Excel Mouscron	3	1	0	2	-1	3
16	Westerlo	3	0	1	2	-2	1

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Mechelen	3	2	1	0	+3	7
2	Anderlecht	3	1	2	0	+1	5
3	Charleroi	2	1	1	0	+1	4
4	Kortrijk	3	1	1	1	-3	4
5	Genk	2	1	0	1	+2	3
6	Waregem	2	1	0	1	+1	3
7	Club Brugge	3	1	0	2	+0	3
8	Eupen	3	1	0	2	-3	3
9	Standard	3	0	2	1	-1	2
10	Gent	1	0	1	0	+0	1
11	Beveren	3	0	1	2	-2	1
12	Oostende	2	0	0	2	-2	0
13	Royal Excel Mouscron	2	0	0	2	-2	0
14	Lokeren	2	0	0	2	-2	0
15	St Truiden	3	0	0	3	-5	0
16	Westerlo	3	0	0	3	-8	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.