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Pro League
Referee: Jonathan Lardot
Kortrijk
T T S S T
1–1
Full-time

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Kortrijk Royal Excel Mouscron
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 58%
33%
83%
Points per game
1,2
2,5
Over 2.5 Ø 33%
33%
33%
Both score Ø 42%
50%
33%
Average goals
2,0
3,0
Scored
0,8
1,8
Conceded
1,2
1,2
Goal diff per game
-0,3
+0,7
This season — Pro League · 4/4 matches
Win Ø 63%
50%
75%
Points per game
1,5
2,3
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
50%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
2,0
3,8
Scored
1,0
2,0
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+0,0
+0,3
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2 Corners 3
2 Yellow cards 0
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Kortrijk 7. · Royal Excel Mouscron 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 4 4 0 0 +8 12
2 Waregem 4 3 0 1 +10 9
3 Royal Excel Mouscron 4 3 0 1 +1 9
4 St Truiden 4 3 0 1 +1 9
5 Antwerp 4 2 1 1 +0 7
6 Charleroi 2 2 0 0 +4 6
7 Kortrijk 4 2 0 2 +0 6
8 Beveren 4 1 2 1 +2 5
9 Genk 2 1 1 0 +2 4
10 Anderlecht 3 1 1 1 +0 4
11 Mechelen 4 0 3 1 -1 3
12 Lokeren 4 1 0 3 -6 3
13 Eupen 4 1 0 3 -7 3
14 Gent 4 0 1 3 -3 1
15 Standard 3 0 1 2 -5 1
16 Oostende 4 0 0 4 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Kortrijk Royal Excel Mouscron
1–0 J. Stojanović
T. Chevalier
5′
20′
🔁 B. Godeau
↦ J. Huyghebaert
Vladimir Kovacevic 🟨
30′
Half-time 1–0
58′
🔁 F. Olinga
↦ A. Nkaka
Hannes Van Der Bruggen 🟨
61′
62′
S. Amallah 1–1
T. Awoniyi
S. De Smet 🔁
↦ J. Stojanović
69′
H. Kage 🔁
↦ T. Chevalier
69′
L. Rougeaux 🔁
↦ B. Kumordzi
77′
79′
🔁 A. Palić
↦ O. Govea
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Kortrijk

28 T. Kaminski G
4 G. Kagelmacher D
5 V. Kovačević D
3 E. Makarenko D
2 B. Kumordzi M
15 C. Lepoint M
8 A. Ajagun F
30 K. D'Haene F
14 H. Van der Bruggen M
9 T. Chevalier F
11 J. Stojanović M
Bench (7)
7 S. De Smet
10 H. Kage
6 L. Rougeaux
1 S. Bruzzese
18 P. Budkivskyi
20 L. Azouni
27 I. Ouali

Coach: Y. Anastasiou

Royal Excel Mouscron

54 L. Bailly G
28 J. Huyghebaert D
4 T. Mézague D
25 C. Diedhiou D
27 M. Vojvoda D
26 A. Nkaka D
11 D. Mohamed F
6 O. Govea M
21 S. Amallah M
18 T. Awoniyi F
10 J. Bolingi F
Bench (7)
31 B. Godeau
7 F. Olinga
20 A. Palić
3 N. De Medina
9 Y. Mbombo
22 S. Locigno
16 C. Libertiaux

Coach: M. Rednic

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Jonathan Lardot · 71 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,6 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
18,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,21 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.