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Eredivisie
Referee: Dennis Higler
NAC Breda
T T
2–2
Full-time
Sparta Rotterdam
T S S T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

NAC Breda Sparta Rotterdam
Last 6 — all competitions · 2/6 matches
Win Ø 17%
0%
33%
Points per game
0,0
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
5,0
2,5
Scored
1,0
1,0
Conceded
4,0
1,5
Goal diff per game
-3,0
-0,5
This season — Eredivisie · 2/2 matches
Win Ø 0%
0%
0%
Points per game
0,0
0,5
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
100%
50%
Both score Ø 75%
100%
50%
Average goals
5,0
2,5
Scored
1,0
0,5
Conceded
4,0
2,0
Goal diff per game
-3,0
-1,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

57% Possession 43%
11 Shots 10
7 Shots on target 3
1 Blocked shots 2
1 Goalkeeper saves 5
9 Corners 6
2 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 18
4 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match NAC Breda 18. · Sparta Rotterdam 13. ▾
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Vitesse 2 2 0 0 +5 6
2 Utrecht 2 2 0 0 +5 6
3 PSV Eindhoven 2 2 0 0 +4 6
4 VVV Venlo 2 2 0 0 +4 6
5 Feyenoord 2 2 0 0 +2 6
6 Zwolle 2 1 1 0 +2 4
7 Heracles 2 1 1 0 +1 4
8 Ajax 2 1 0 1 +1 3
9 AZ Alkmaar 2 1 0 1 +1 3
10 Excelsior 2 1 0 1 +0 3
11 Heerenveen 2 0 2 0 +0 2
12 Groningen 2 0 1 1 -2 1
13 Sparta Rotterdam 2 0 1 1 -3 1
14 Twente 2 0 0 2 -2 0
15 Willem II 2 0 0 2 -3 0
16 Roda 2 0 0 2 -4 0
17 Den Haag 2 0 0 2 -5 0
18 NAC Breda 2 0 0 2 -6 0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

NAC Breda Sparta Rotterdam
Manu García 🟨
26′
1–0 Pablo Marí ⚽
42′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 R. Vloet ⚽
Angeliño
51′
52′
🔁 R. Ache
↦ D. Volaš
60′
🔁 D. Duarte
↦ R. Sanusi
Mounir El Allouchi 🟨
61′
67′
🟨 George Dobson
T. Agyepong 🔁
↦ Paolo Fernandes
69′
70′
⚽ R. Ache 2–1
M. Breuer
K. Mets 🔁
↦ M. El Allouchi
76′
78′
🔁 S. Spierings
↦ M. Breuer
84′
⚽ R. Ache 2–2
R. Mühren
G. Korte 🔁
↦ T. Ambrose
86′
87′
🟨 Stijn Spierings
Karol Mets 🟨
90′
Thomas Agyepong 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

NAC Breda

4-3-3
1 A. Noppert G
3 M. Koch D
22 Pablo Marí D
69 Angeliño D
35 J. Horsfield D
10 R. Vloet M
6 A. Verschueren M
8 M. El Allouchi M
19 Manu García M
9 T. Ambrose F
11 Paolo Fernandes M
Bench (8)
20 T. Agyepong
5 K. Mets
7 G. Korte
12 S. van der Maaten
15 J. Stans
45 R. Sprangers
28 D. Snepvangers
23 N. Bertrams

Coach: S. Vreven

Sparta Rotterdam

4-3-3
1 R. Kortsmit G
5 M. Breuer D
6 B. Vriends D
2 S. Floranus D
8 R. Sanusi M
3 K. Dougall M
4 G. Dobson M
9 D. Volaš
7 L. Brogno F
10 R. Mühren M
11 C. Goodwin M
Bench (12)
19 R. Ache
16 D. Duarte
21 S. Spierings
20 A. Craninx
30 L. Nienhuis
13 N. Marfelt
18 M. Veenhoven
12 J. Chabot
15 S. Fischer
14 F. Bambock
17 T. Verhaar
22 I. Alhaft

Coach: A. Pastoor

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
–
🔒
U1,5
–
🔒
O2,5 ✓
–
🔒
U2,5
–
🔒
O3,5 ✓
–
🔒
U3,5
–
🔒
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
–
🔒
BLS nei
–
🔒

Recent matches

Referee

Dennis Higler · 127 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,2 / match
Average
⚽ Free kicks
19,7 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,17 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.