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Pro League
Referee: Christof Dierick
Charleroi
S S S U S
2–2
Full-time
Eupen
T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Charleroi Eupen
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
67%
17%
Points per game
2,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
67%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,7
4,2
Scored
2,3
1,5
Conceded
1,3
2,7
Goal diff per game
+1,0
-1,2
This season — Pro League · 5/9 matches
Win Ø 46%
80%
11%
Points per game
2,6
0,6
Over 2.5 Ø 75%
60%
89%
Both score Ø 69%
60%
78%
Average goals
3,6
4,1
Scored
2,4
1,2
Conceded
1,2
2,9
Goal diff per game
+1,2
-1,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

53% Possession 47%
8 Shots 5
5 Shots on target 3
1 Goalkeeper saves 3
8 Corners 4
2 Offside 1
18 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 5
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Charleroi 7. · Eupen 15.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Royal Excel Mouscron 9 5 2 2 +2 17
2 Waregem 9 5 1 3 +9 16
3 St Truiden 9 5 1 3 +0 16
4 Club Brugge 6 5 0 1 +9 15
5 Antwerp 9 4 3 2 +1 15
6 Anderlecht 7 4 2 1 +3 14
7 Charleroi 5 4 1 0 +6 13
8 Beveren 9 3 3 3 +7 12
9 Lokeren 9 3 1 5 -3 10
10 Genk 6 2 3 1 +2 9
11 Kortrijk 9 2 3 4 -4 9
12 Mechelen 10 1 5 4 -3 8
13 Standard 5 1 2 2 -4 5
14 Oostende 9 1 2 6 -8 5
15 Eupen 9 1 2 6 -15 5
16 Gent 6 1 1 4 -2 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Charleroi Eupen
11′
🟨 Mickael Tirpan
22′
🟨 Abdelkarim Hassan
1–0 A. Baby
M. Fall
32′
35′
M. Leye 1–1
Half-time 1–1
C. Bedia 🔁
↦ G. Hendrickx
46′
Kaveh Rezaei 🟨
51′
Núrio 🟨
57′
D. Lukebakio 🔁
↦ M. Fall
60′
71′
🟨 Nicolas Verdier
2–1 A. Baby
K. Rezaei
73′
75′
🔁 Akram Afif
↦ N. Schouterden
81′
🟨 Moussa Wague
M. Ilaimaharitra 🔁
↦ C. Benavente
81′
85′
🟨 Jordan Lotiès
88′
E. Ocansey 2–2
M. Leye
90′
🔁 Marc Valiente
↦ N. Verdier
Full-time 2–2

Line-ups

Charleroi

4-2-3-1
1 N. Penneteau G
17 S. Marinos D
8 Javi Martos D
6 G. Zajkov D
25 Nurio Fortuna D
18 A. Baby M
13 C. Diandy M
14 C. Benavente M
22 G. Hendrickx M
77 M. Fall F
9 K. Rezaei F
Bench (8)
99 C. Bedia
46 D. Lukebakio
26 M. Ilaimaharitra
7 C. Tainmont
10 D. Pollet
28 E. Sağlık
35 P. Mandanda
41 F. N'Ganga

Coach: F. Mazzù

Eupen

4-4-2
1 H. Van Crombrugge G
22 S. Blondelle D
4 J. Lotiès D
3 Abdelkarim Hassan M
23 M. Tirpan D
15 M. Wagué D
18 N. Schouterden M
10 Luis García F
9 M. Leye F
99 N. Verdier M
28 E. Ocansey F
Bench (7)
11 Akram Afif
44 Marc Valiente
5 D. Diagné
8 J. Amani
14 A. Castro-Montes
25 G. Jamabo
30 B. Niasse

Coach: Jordi Condom

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Christof Dierick · 49 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,3 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
15,0 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,25 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.