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Pro League
Referee: Bart Vertenten
Mechelen
U T T T T
2–0
Full-time
Kortrijk
T T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Mechelen Kortrijk
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 9%
17%
0%
Points per game
0,7
0,3
Over 2.5 Ø 67%
67%
67%
Both score Ø 67%
67%
67%
Average goals
3,8
2,5
Scored
1,5
0,7
Conceded
2,3
1,8
Goal diff per game
-0,8
-1,2
This season — Pro League · 13/13 matches
Win Ø 12%
8%
15%
Points per game
0,6
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 54%
46%
62%
Both score Ø 69%
69%
69%
Average goals
3,0
2,5
Scored
1,2
1,0
Conceded
1,8
1,5
Goal diff per game
-0,7
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

60% Possession 40%
13 Shots 2
7 Shots on target 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 6
4 Corners 4
2 Offside 0
8 Free kicks against 22
3 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Mechelen 16. · Kortrijk 14.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Club Brugge 9 8 0 1 +14 24
2 St Truiden 13 7 2 4 -1 23
3 Anderlecht 9 6 2 1 +6 20
4 Antwerp 13 5 5 3 +3 20
5 Waregem 13 6 1 6 +2 19
6 Royal Excel Mouscron 13 5 4 4 -1 19
7 Beveren 13 5 3 5 +7 18
8 Lokeren 14 4 4 6 -4 16
9 Charleroi 8 4 3 1 +3 15
10 Standard 9 4 3 2 +2 15
11 Genk 9 2 6 1 +2 12
12 Gent 9 3 2 4 +3 11
13 Oostende 13 3 2 8 -4 11
14 Kortrijk 13 2 5 6 -7 11
15 Eupen 13 2 3 8 -16 9
16 Mechelen 13 1 5 7 -9 8

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Mechelen Kortrijk
Half-time 0–0
55′
🟨 Lucas Rougeaux
T. Matthys 🔁
↦ Y. Croizet
57′
Elias Cobbaut 🟨
60′
61′
🔁 J. Stojanović
↦ A. Ajagun
0–1 D. Budde
own goal
63′
66′
🔁 P. Budkivskyi
↦ J. Perbet
Nicklas Pedersen 🟨
68′
1–1 B. Bandé
T. Matthys
68′
S. Dražić 🔁
↦ N. Pedersen
75′
75′
🔁 H. Kage
↦ K. DHaene
Laurens Paulussen 🟨
87′
90′
🟨 Denzel Budde
A. Kawaya 🔁
↦ L. Paulussen
91′
Full-time 1–1

Line-ups

Mechelen

4-3-3
26 C. Coosemans G
2 L. Paulussen D
3 A. El Messaoudi D
22 E. Cobbaut D
17 I. Tomečak M
55 Ž. Filipović M
11 M. Rits M
16 R. Schoofs
10 Y. Croizet M
9 N. Pedersen F
27 B. Bandé F
Bench (7)
7 T. Matthys
99 S. Dražić
47 A. Kawaya
20 D. Kolovos
8 R. Leal
30 H. Smolders
35 S. Ganvoula

Coach: T. Caluwé

Kortrijk

4-4-2
28 T. Kaminski G
5 V. Kovačević D
23 B. Verboom D
6 L. Rougeaux D
29 D. Budde
8 A. Ajagun F
30 K. D'Haene F
14 H. Van der Bruggen M
20 L. Azouni M
43 J. Perbet F
9 T. Chevalier F
Bench (7)
11 J. Stojanović
18 P. Budkivskyi
10 H. Kage
1 S. Bruzzese
12 L. Van Eenoo
21 J. Pupe
3 E. Makarenko

Coach: Y. Anastasiou

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
U2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Bart Vertenten · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.