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Eliteserien

Referee: O Nilsen

Molde

S S S T S

2–2

Full-time

Rosenborg

S S T T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

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The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Molde Rosenborg

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 59%

67%

50%

Points per game

2,2

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 75%

83%

67%

Both score Ø 75%

100%

50%

Average goals

3,7

2,8

Scored

2,2

1,3

Conceded

1,5

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

This season — Eliteserien · 7/6 matches

Win Ø 54%

57%

50%

Points per game

1,9

1,5

Over 2.5 Ø 54%

57%

50%

Both score Ø 45%

57%

33%

Average goals

2,7

2,5

Scored

1,7

1,2

Conceded

1,0

1,3

Goal diff per game

+0,7

-0,2

xG created Pro

xG conceded Pro

xG diff Pro

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Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

2,45 xG 1,08

49% Possession 51%

15 Shots 11

3 Shots on target 3

6 Blocked shots 2

1 Goalkeeper saves 1

3 Corners 5

0 Offside 4

8 Free kicks against 5

2 Yellow cards 2

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Molde 3. · Rosenborg 9. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	6	5	1	0	+11	+3.2	16
2	Brann	7	4	2	1	+6	+7.7	14
3	Molde	7	4	1	2	+5	+4.4	13
4	Fredrikstad	6	3	2	1	+3	+1.3	11
5	Stromsgodset	6	3	1	2	-1	-0.9	10
6	Viking	6	2	3	1	+1	+5.5	9
7	KFUM Oslo	6	2	3	1	+1	+1.4	9
8	Kristiansund	6	2	3	1	+0	-0.9	9
9	Rosenborg	6	3	0	3	-1	-4.0	9
10	Odd	7	2	2	3	-3	-7.6	8
11	Sarpsborg 08	6	2	1	3	+0	-1.8	7
12	Lillestrom	6	2	1	3	-4	-2.2	7
13	Haugesund	6	2	0	4	-4	-2.6	6
14	Sandefjord	5	1	1	3	-2	+1.5	4
15	Ham-Kam	7	0	3	4	-4	+0.7	3
16	Tromso	5	0	0	5	-8	-5.7	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Molde	4	3	0	1	+6	+5.2	9
2	Brann	4	3	0	1	+4	+5.8	9
3	Viking	4	2	2	0	+2	+2.5	8
4	Bodo/Glimt	3	2	1	0	+2	+0.4	7
5	Rosenborg	3	2	0	1	+1	+0.3	6
6	Kristiansund	3	1	2	0	+1	+0.7	5
7	Stromsgodset	2	1	1	0	+1	+0.3	4
8	Fredrikstad	3	1	1	1	-1	+0.8	4
9	Sandefjord	2	1	0	1	+1	+0.1	3
10	Sarpsborg 08	3	1	0	2	-2	-0.1	3
11	KFUM Oslo	3	0	2	1	-2	+1.5	2
12	Odd	4	0	2	2	-3	-2.9	2
13	Lillestrom	3	0	1	2	-6	-2.4	1
14	Ham-Kam	2	0	0	2	-2	-0.2	0
15	Haugesund	3	0	0	3	-5	+1.2	0
16	Tromso	3	0	0	3	-6	-1.4	0

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	xG +/−	P
1	Bodo/Glimt	3	3	0	0	+9	+2.8	9
2	Fredrikstad	3	2	1	0	+4	+0.5	7
3	KFUM Oslo	3	2	1	0	+3	-0.2	7
4	Lillestrom	3	2	0	1	+2	+0.2	6
5	Haugesund	3	2	0	1	+1	-3.8	6
6	Odd	3	2	0	1	+0	-4.7	6
7	Stromsgodset	4	2	0	2	-2	-1.3	6
8	Brann	3	1	2	0	+2	+1.9	5
9	Sarpsborg 08	3	1	1	1	+2	-1.8	4
10	Kristiansund	3	1	1	1	-1	-1.7	4
11	Molde	3	1	1	1	-1	-0.8	4
12	Ham-Kam	5	0	3	2	-2	+0.9	3
13	Rosenborg	3	1	0	2	-2	-4.2	3
14	Viking	2	0	1	1	-1	+3.0	1
15	Sandefjord	3	0	1	2	-3	+1.4	1
16	Tromso	2	0	0	2	-2	-4.2	0

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.