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Serie A

Referee: Massimiliano Irrati

Empoli

S T U T T

1–0

Full-time

Fiorentina

U T U T T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Empoli Fiorentina

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,7

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 50%

67%

33%

Both score Ø 59%

67%

50%

Average goals

3,2

1,8

Scored

1,2

0,7

Conceded

2,0

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,8

-0,5

This season — Serie A · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 23%

21%

24%

Points per game

0,9

1,2

Over 2.5 Ø 56%

71%

41%

Both score Ø 62%

65%

59%

Average goals

3,2

2,6

Scored

1,3

1,4

Conceded

1,9

1,2

Goal diff per game

-0,7

+0,1

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–0

47% Possession 53%

11 Shots 25

4 Shots on target 11

6 Blocked shots 2

10 Goalkeeper saves 3

4 Corners 7

1 Offside 1

13 Free kicks against 16

3 Yellow cards 1

0 Red cards 1

The table before the match Empoli 18. · Fiorentina 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	35	28	5	2	+44	89
2	Napoli	34	21	7	6	+34	70
3	Inter	35	18	9	8	+24	63
4	Atalanta	34	17	8	9	+26	59
5	Roma	34	16	10	8	+15	58
6	Torino	35	14	15	6	+15	57
7	Milan	34	15	11	8	+14	56
8	Lazio	34	16	7	11	+13	55
9	Sampdoria	34	14	6	14	+8	48
10	Spal	35	11	9	15	-9	42
11	Sassuolo	34	9	14	11	-4	41
12	Fiorentina	34	8	16	10	+5	40
13	Cagliari	34	10	10	14	-15	40
14	Bologna	34	9	10	15	-11	37
15	Parma	34	9	10	15	-17	37
16	Genoa	34	8	11	15	-17	35
17	Udinese	35	8	10	17	-18	34
18	Empoli	34	7	8	19	-23	29
19	Frosinone	34	5	8	21	-36	23
20	Chievo	35	2	12	21	-48	18

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	18	15	3	0	+26	48
2	Napoli	17	11	4	2	+21	37
3	Roma	17	10	5	2	+14	35
4	Milan	17	10	4	3	+11	34
5	Inter	17	9	5	3	+14	32
6	Torino	17	10	2	5	+10	32
7	Lazio	17	9	4	4	+13	31
8	Cagliari	17	8	6	3	+5	30
9	Atalanta	17	8	5	4	+14	29
10	Sampdoria	17	9	2	6	+11	29
11	Udinese	18	7	5	6	-1	26
12	Bologna	17	7	4	6	+2	25
13	Empoli	17	7	3	7	-1	24
14	Genoa	17	6	6	5	-1	24
15	Fiorentina	17	5	8	4	+7	23
16	Sassuolo	17	5	8	4	+0	23
17	Spal	17	5	7	5	-4	22
18	Parma	17	4	6	7	-8	18
19	Chievo	18	1	6	11	-23	9
20	Frosinone	17	1	5	11	-22	8

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Juventus	17	13	2	2	+18	41
2	Napoli	17	10	3	4	+13	33
3	Inter	18	9	4	5	+10	31
4	Atalanta	17	9	3	5	+12	30
5	Torino	18	4	13	1	+5	25
6	Lazio	17	7	3	7	+0	24
7	Roma	17	6	5	6	+1	23
8	Milan	17	5	7	5	+3	22
9	Spal	18	6	2	10	-5	20
10	Sampdoria	17	5	4	8	-3	19
11	Parma	17	5	4	8	-9	19
12	Sassuolo	17	4	6	7	-4	18
13	Fiorentina	17	3	8	6	-2	17
14	Frosinone	17	4	3	10	-14	15
15	Bologna	17	2	6	9	-13	12
16	Genoa	17	2	5	10	-16	11
17	Cagliari	17	2	4	11	-20	10
18	Chievo	17	1	6	10	-25	9
19	Udinese	17	1	5	11	-17	8
20	Empoli	17	0	5	12	-22	5

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.