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Ligue 1

Referee: Willy Delajod

Toulouse

T S T U T

2–2

Full-time

Rennes

U T U T U

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Toulouse Rennes

Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches

Win Ø 9%

17%

Points per game

0,8

0,5

Over 2.5 Ø 42%

17%

67%

Both score Ø 50%

33%

67%

Average goals

1,5

3,3

Scored

0,5

1,3

Conceded

1,0

2,0

Goal diff per game

-0,5

-0,7

This season — Ligue 1 · 34/34 matches

Win Ø 28%

24%

32%

Points per game

1,1

1,3

Over 2.5 Ø 49%

44%

53%

Both score Ø 59%

56%

62%

Average goals

2,3

2,8

Scored

0,9

1,4

Conceded

1,4

Goal diff per game

-0,5

+0,0

🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–1

55% Possession 45%

19 Shots 12

4 Shots on target 3

7 Blocked shots 1

1 Goalkeeper saves 2

6 Corners 6

2 Offside 1

20 Free kicks against 15

3 Yellow cards 3

0 Red cards 0

The table before the match Toulouse 15. · Rennes 12. ▾

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	35	27	4	4	+67	85
2	Lille	34	20	8	6	+31	68
3	Lyon	34	18	8	8	+15	62
4	St Etienne	34	17	8	9	+15	59
5	Marseille	35	16	7	12	+7	55
6	Montpellier	34	14	12	8	+11	54
7	Nice	35	14	10	11	-4	52
8	Nimes	35	14	7	14	-1	49
9	Reims	35	11	16	8	-5	49
10	Strasbourg	35	10	16	9	+12	46
11	Angers	35	10	15	10	+1	45
12	Rennes	34	11	11	12	-1	44
13	Nantes	34	12	7	15	-2	43
14	Bordeaux	35	9	11	15	-7	38
15	Toulouse	34	8	12	14	-18	36
16	Monaco	34	7	12	15	-17	33
17	Amiens	34	8	9	17	-20	33
18	Caen	35	6	12	17	-21	30
19	Dijon	34	7	7	20	-24	28
20	Guingamp	35	5	10	20	-39	25

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	18	16	2	0	+49	50
2	St Etienne	17	12	2	3	+18	38
3	Lille	17	11	4	2	+25	37
4	Lyon	17	11	3	3	+15	36
5	Marseille	17	10	4	3	+16	34
6	Montpellier	17	8	6	3	+11	30
7	Nice	17	9	3	5	+3	30
8	Nimes	17	8	5	4	+10	29
9	Nantes	17	8	4	5	+9	28
10	Reims	18	7	7	4	+1	28
11	Rennes	17	7	6	4	+7	27
12	Bordeaux	18	7	6	5	+4	27
13	Strasbourg	18	6	8	4	+8	26
14	Angers	17	5	8	4	+3	23
15	Amiens	17	6	4	7	-3	22
16	Toulouse	17	4	8	5	-3	20
17	Dijon	17	4	4	9	-13	16
18	Monaco	17	3	6	8	-11	15
19	Guingamp	18	3	6	9	-11	15
20	Caen	17	3	5	9	-11	14

#	Team	K	V	U	T	+/−	P
1	Paris SG	17	11	2	4	+18	35
2	Lille	17	9	4	4	+6	31
3	Lyon	17	7	5	5	+0	26
4	Montpellier	17	6	6	5	+0	24
5	Angers	18	5	7	6	-2	22
6	Nice	18	5	7	6	-7	22
7	St Etienne	17	5	6	6	-3	21
8	Reims	17	4	9	4	-6	21
9	Marseille	18	6	3	9	-9	21
10	Strasbourg	17	4	8	5	+4	20
11	Nimes	18	6	2	10	-11	20
12	Monaco	17	4	6	7	-6	18
13	Rennes	17	4	5	8	-8	17
14	Caen	18	3	7	8	-10	16
15	Toulouse	17	4	4	9	-15	16
16	Nantes	17	4	3	10	-11	15
17	Dijon	17	3	3	11	-11	12
18	Bordeaux	17	2	5	10	-11	11
19	Amiens	17	2	5	10	-17	11
20	Guingamp	17	2	4	11	-28	10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.