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Pro League
Referee: Bart Vertenten
Club Brugge
S S S U T
2–1
Full-time
Gent
S U T U S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Club Brugge Gent
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,7
1,5
Over 2.5 Ø 50%
67%
33%
Both score Ø 75%
83%
67%
Average goals
3,0
3,3
Scored
1,7
2,0
Conceded
1,3
1,3
Goal diff per game
+0,3
+0,7
This season — Pro League · 29/29 matches
Win Ø 54%
55%
52%
Points per game
1,9
1,8
Over 2.5 Ø 55%
69%
41%
Both score Ø 57%
69%
45%
Average goals
3,1
2,6
Scored
2,0
1,6
Conceded
1,1
1,0
Goal diff per game
+0,9
+0,7
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 1–0

8 Corners 4
2 Yellow cards 2
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Club Brugge 2. · Gent 3.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Anderlecht 29 18 7 4 +37 61
2 Club Brugge 29 16 6 7 +27 54
3 Gent 29 15 8 6 +19 53
4 Oostende 29 15 7 7 +18 52
5 Waregem 29 15 6 8 +12 51
6 Mechelen 30 14 6 10 +5 48
7 Genk 30 14 6 10 +5 48
8 Charleroi 29 11 11 7 +3 44
9 Standard 30 10 12 8 +9 42
10 Lokeren 30 7 10 13 -10 31
11 Kortrijk 30 8 7 15 -17 31
12 St Truiden 30 8 6 16 -13 30
13 Beveren 30 7 9 14 -15 30
14 Eupen 30 8 6 16 -24 30
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 30 7 3 20 -24 24
16 Westerlo 30 5 8 17 -32 23

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Club Brugge Gent
Jelle Vossen 🟨
14′
1–0 Wesley
L. Refaelov
24′
Half-time 2–0
2–0 H. Vanaken
A. Limbombe
57′
60′
🟨 Renato Neto
62′
🔁 M. Simon
↦ A. Esiti
66′
🔁 B. Verstraete
↦ D. Miličević
70′
K. Saief 2–1
T. Simons 🔁
↦ L. Refaelov
75′
A. Touba 🔁
↦ Wesley
80′
84′
🔁 L. Verstraete
↦ Renato Neto
85′
🟨 Stefan Mitrović
L. Immers 🔁
↦ J. Vossen
87′
Hans Vanaken 🟨
90′
Full-time 2–1

Line-ups

Club Brugge

22 E. Horvath G
5 B. Poulain D
13 H. Palacios D
24 S. Denswil D
21 D. Cools D
25 R. Vormer M
20 H. Vanaken M
9 J. Vossen F
8 L. Refaelov M
17 A. Limbombe F
7 Wesley F
Bench (7)
3 T. Simons
96 A. Touba
27 L. Immers
1 L. Butelle
2 R. van Rhijn
29 D. Rotariu
93 T. Vlietinck

Coach: M. Preud'homme

Gent

91 L. Kalinić G
55 R. Gershon D
13 S. Mitrović D
4 W. Troost-Ekong D
77 D. Miličević F
10 Renato Neto M
15 K. Saief M
44 A. Esiti M
31 Y. Kubo F
7 K. Coulibaly F
18 S. Kalu F
Bench (7)
27 M. Simon
6 B. Verstraete
33 L. Verstraete
19 B. Dejaegere
20 Y. Thoelen
29 T. De Smet
32 T. Foket

Coach: H. Vanhaezebrouck

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
U3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Bart Vertenten · 43 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,4 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
18,7 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,24 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.