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Pro League
Referee: Alexandre Boucaut
Club Brugge
S U U S T
1–3
Full-time
Waregem
T U S T S

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Club Brugge Waregem
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 42%
50%
33%
Points per game
1,8
1,2
Over 2.5 Ø 83%
83%
83%
Both score Ø 75%
67%
83%
Average goals
3,3
3,5
Scored
2,3
1,8
Conceded
1,0
1,7
Goal diff per game
+1,3
+0,2
This season — Pro League · 10/15 matches
Win Ø 45%
70%
20%
Points per game
2,3
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 80%
80%
80%
Both score Ø 67%
60%
73%
Average goals
3,8
3,9
Scored
2,8
1,5
Conceded
1,0
2,3
Goal diff per game
+1,8
-0,8
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 0–2

64% Possession 36%
8 Shots 8
2 Shots on target 4
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
5 Corners 2
4 Offside 3
13 Free kicks against 16
0 Yellow cards 1
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Club Brugge 4. · Waregem 13.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Antwerp 10 8 1 1 +10 25
2 Genk 10 7 3 0 +17 24
3 St Truiden 15 6 6 3 +6 24
4 Club Brugge 10 7 2 1 +18 23
5 Anderlecht 10 7 2 1 +12 23
6 Gent 10 7 1 2 +12 22
7 Charleroi 15 6 2 7 +0 20
8 Cercle Brugge 15 5 4 6 -8 19
9 Oostende 15 5 3 7 -12 18
10 Standard 10 4 4 2 +5 16
11 Kortrijk 15 4 4 7 -6 16
12 Eupen 15 5 1 9 -12 16
13 Waregem 15 3 3 9 -12 12
14 Beveren 15 1 8 6 -6 11
15 Royal Excel Mouscron 15 2 4 9 -11 10
16 Lokeren 15 2 4 9 -13 10

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Club Brugge Waregem
12′
Hamdi Harbaoui 0–1
41′
🟨 Sammy Bossut
45′
Theo Bongonda 0–2
Nill De Pauw
Half-time 0–2
Sofyan Amrabat 🔁
↦ Mats Rits
46′
51′
Theo Bongonda 0–3
Kaveh Rezaei 🔁
↦ Saulo Decarli
54′
Loïs Openda 🔁
↦ Siebe Schrijvers
70′
0–4 Davy de Fauw
own goal
78′
82′
🔁 Mikael Soisalo
↦ Thomas Buffel
86′
🔁 Henrik Bjørdal
↦ Theo Bongonda
Full-time 0–4

Line-ups

Club Brugge

3-5-2
22 Ethan Horvath G
5 Benoît Poulain D
44 Brandon Mechele D
35 Saulo Decarli D
77 Clinton Mata D
25 Ruud Vormer M
20 Hans Vanaken M
18 Marvelous Nakamba M
26 Mats Rits M
16 Siebe Schrijvers F
7 Wesley F
Bench (8)
1 Karlo Letica
15 Matej Mitrović
4 Luan Peres
98 Brandon Baiye
6 Sofyan Amrabat
10 Kaveh Rezaei
80 Loïs Openda
93 Noah Fadiga

Coach: I. Leko

Waregem

4-2-3-1
1 Sammy Bossut G
2 Davy de Fauw D
4 Michael Heylen D
3 Marvin Baudry D
23 Marco Burki D
14 Sandy Walsh D
22 Florian Tardieu M
7 Thomas Buffel F
11 Nill De Pauw F
10 Theo Bongonda M
9 Hamdi Harbaoui F
Bench (7)
25 Louis Bostyn
18 Erdin Demir
20 Henrik Bjørdal
16 Urho Nissilä
5 Damien Marcq
12 Chris Bedia
17 Mikael Soisalo

Coach: F. Dury

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja ✓
BLS nei

Referee

Alexandre Boucaut · 68 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
3,4 / match
Below average
⚽ Free kicks
15,9 / match
Below average

🟥 Red cards: 0,34 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.