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Pro League
Referee: Lawrence Visser
Club Brugge
S S S S S
4–0
Full-time
Cercle Brugge
S T T U T

Retrospective analysis — the model is trained only on matches played before this one.

⚠️ One of the teams has played few league matches recently (e.g. newly promoted). The analysis is therefore more uncertain than usual, and we give no recommendations for this match.
🔒 Who wins? Pro

The model's probabilities for a home win, draw and away win — with reasoning and recommended markets.

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Team trends

Club Brugge Cercle Brugge
Last 6 — all competitions · 6/6 matches
Win Ø 50%
83%
17%
Points per game
2,5
0,8
Over 2.5 Ø 59%
67%
50%
Both score Ø 50%
50%
50%
Average goals
3,7
2,8
Scored
2,7
1,0
Conceded
1,0
1,8
Goal diff per game
+1,7
-0,8
This season — Pro League · 5/8 matches
Win Ø 63%
100%
25%
Points per game
3,0
1,1
Over 2.5 Ø 65%
80%
50%
Both score Ø 55%
60%
50%
Average goals
4,2
2,8
Scored
3,2
1,1
Conceded
1,0
1,6
Goal diff per game
+2,2
-0,5
🔒 Goal markets Pro

Expected goals, over/under and both teams to score — priced by the model before kick-off.

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🔒 Most likely result Pro

The model's top final scores with the best bookmaker odds.

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Match stats

Half-time score: 2–0

64% Possession 36%
16 Shots 6
6 Shots on target 1
1 Goalkeeper saves 2
8 Corners 7
3 Offside 0
16 Free kicks against 15
2 Yellow cards 6
0 Red cards 0
The table before the match Club Brugge 2. · Cercle Brugge 11.
# Team K V U T +/− P
1 Genk 8 6 2 0 +16 20
2 Club Brugge 5 5 0 0 +11 15
3 Gent 6 4 1 1 +7 13
4 Antwerp 6 4 1 1 +5 13
5 St Truiden 8 3 4 1 +3 13
6 Oostende 8 4 1 3 -1 13
7 Anderlecht 4 4 0 0 +9 12
8 Charleroi 9 3 2 4 +0 11
9 Eupen 9 3 1 5 -8 10
10 Standard 6 2 3 1 +3 9
11 Cercle Brugge 8 2 3 3 -4 9
12 Beveren 9 1 5 3 -2 8
13 Kortrijk 9 2 2 5 -6 8
14 Lokeren 9 1 2 6 -10 5
15 Waregem 9 1 2 6 -13 5
16 Royal Excel Mouscron 9 1 1 7 -10 4

Calculated from our results data. “xG +/−” is expected goal difference — a positive number with a low league position suggests an undervalued team. Ties on points are sorted by goal difference; some leagues use other rules.

Match report

Club Brugge Cercle Brugge
1–0 Wesley
6′
2–0 Hans Vanaken
Wesley
39′
43′
🟨 Guevin Tormin
43′
🔁 Serge Gakpé
↦ Gianni Bruno
45′
🟨 Yoann Etienne
Half-time 2–0
Wesley 🟨
51′
3–0 Siebe Schrijvers
Thibault Vlietinck
53′
57′
🔁 Dylan de Belder
↦ Vitinho
59′
🟨 Xavier Mercier
Marvelous Nakamba 🔁
↦ Mats Rits
60′
63′
🟨 Jeremy Taravel
Clinton Mata 🔁
↦ Thibault Vlietinck
64′
Marvelous Nakamba 🟨
67′
70′
🟨 Lloyd Palun
Loïs Openda 🔁
↦ Wesley
74′
79′
🟨 Isaac Kone
79′
🔁 Kevin Appin
↦ Arnaud Lusamba
4–0 Siebe Schrijvers
Arnaut Groeneveld
80′
Full-time 4–0

Line-ups

Club Brugge

3-5-2
1 Karlo Letica G
5 Benoît Poulain D
44 Brandon Mechele D
24 Stefano Denswil D
19 Thibault Vlietinck F
25 Ruud Vormer M
20 Hans Vanaken M
26 Mats Rits M
47 Arnaut Groeneveld F
7 Wesley F
16 Siebe Schrijvers F
Bench (8)
22 Ethan Horvath
35 Saulo Decarli
77 Clinton Mata
15 Matej Mitrović
18 Marvelous Nakamba
42 Emmanuel Dennis
80 Loïs Openda
9 Jelle Vossen

Coach: I. Leko

Cercle Brugge

4-2-3-1
1 Paul Nardi G
8 Lloyd Palun D
19 Benjamin Lambot D
4 Jeremy Taravel D
17 Yoann Etienne D
5 Isaac Kone M
21 Arnaud Lusamba M
29 Vitinho D
10 Xavier Mercier M
11 Guevin Tormin F
9 Gianni Bruno F
Bench (7)
16 Miguel Van Damme
30 Abud Omar
6 Serge Gakpé
28 Benjamin Delacourt
26 Kevin Appin
27 Adrien Bongiovanni
12 Dylan de Belder

Coach: L. Guyot

Odds comparison

Green columns are the outcomes that came in.

Over/under goals
O1,5 ✓
O2,5 ✓
O3,5 ✓
Both teams to score
BLS ja
BLS nei ✓

Referee

Lawrence Visser · 83 kamper i vår database

🟨 Yellow cards
4,7 / match
Above average
⚽ Free kicks
20,9 / match
Average

🟥 Red cards: 0,33 per match

The analysis is a statistical estimate based on the teams' results and underlying performances (xG) — not a guarantee. See the model's results.